The Cincinnati Reds (+115) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (-140) on Thursday, September 8, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 2:20pm EDT in Chicago.
The are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).
The Reds vs Cubs Over/Under is total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Reds are 52-80 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 67-67 ATS.
Reds vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Reds vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Thursday‘s matchup with 51.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Reds and Cubs and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Cubs vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alfonso Rivas | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Franmil Reyes | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -550 |
| Ian Happ | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Nico Hoerner | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
Cubs vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alfonso Rivas | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +125 |
| Franmil Reyes | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +160 |
| Ian Happ | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +150 |
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +180 |
| Aristides Aquino | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +115 |
Cubs vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alfonso Rivas | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -350 |
| Franmil Reyes | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -190 |
| Ian Happ | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -250 |
| Nico Hoerner | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -250 |
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -275 |
Cubs vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adrian Sampson | 3.5 -160 | 3.5 +110 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Reds Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Positive Betting Trends for the Cubs: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 61-70 against the Run Line (-14.6 Units / -9.07% ROI).
- 52-80 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.6 Units / -10.34% ROI
- 66-63 when betting on the total runs Over for -4 Units / -2.74% ROI
- 63-66 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.05 Units / -6.92% ROI
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 67-67 against the Run Line (-10.55 Units / -6.15% ROI).
- 56-78 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.6 Units / -12.21% ROI
- 57-65 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.9 Units / -9.53% ROI
- 65-57 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.4 Units / 1.63% ROI
Luis Cessa: Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Luis Cessa has struck out just 16% (44/269) of right-handed batters he faced since the start of last season — tied for 5th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — fourth Percentile.
Luis Cessa has a strikeout rate of just 7% (5 SO in 69 PAs) in PAs ending on inside fastballs since the start of last season — 8th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 16% — sixth Percentile.
Luis Cessa has thrown low pitches 61% of the time (285/466) on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — 2nd highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — 98th Percentile.
Luis Cessa has allowed a slugging percentage of .524 (66 Total Bases / 126 ABs) versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season — 3rd highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .349 — third Percentile.
Adrian Sampson: Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Adrian Sampson has a strike rate of just 61% (389/642) vs left-handed batters this season — 13th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 67 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 12th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 27% (62/226) against Adrian Sampson this season — 13th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 67 total IP; League Avg: 24% — eighth Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 29% (37/126) against Adrian Sampson this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 67 total IP; League Avg: 23% — third Percentile.
Adrian Sampson has struck out just 14% (23/159) of left-handed batters he faced this season — 12th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 67 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 11th Percentile.