The Cincinnati Reds (+145) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (-175) on Sunday, October 2, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 2:20pm EDT in Chicago.
The Cubs are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Reds vs Cubs Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Reds are 60-98 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 79-79 ATS.
Reds vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Reds vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Sunday‘s matchup with 58.8% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Reds and Cubs and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Tyler Stephenson has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 away games (+10.65 Units / 25% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 11 away games (+10.45 Units / 70% ROI)
- Joey Votto has hit the Runs Under in 30 of his last 41 away games (+10.30 Units / 14% ROI)
- Mike Minor has hit the Pitching Outs Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+10.25 Units / 75% ROI)
- Joey Votto has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+10.10 Units / 110% ROI)
Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Rafael Ortega has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 22 games at home (+17.05 Units / 67% ROI)
- Ian Happ has hit the Total Bases Over in 35 of his last 55 games at home (+12.80 Units / 17% ROI)
- Rafael Ortega has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 22 games at home (+11.80 Units / 32% ROI)
- Rafael Ortega has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 23 games at home (+11.10 Units / 33% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+9.15 Units / 30% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Reds Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 72 of their last 130 games (+14.90 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 39 of their last 66 games (+13.70 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 20 games (+12.26 Units / 53% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 34 of their last 61 away games (+6.70 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.85 Units / 40% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Cubs: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 46 of their last 81 games (+19.90 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 48 of their last 81 games (+17.20 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 63 of their last 104 games (+16.95 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 18 games (+16.50 Units / 82% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 22 games (+8.70 Units / 36% ROI)
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 74-84 against the Run Line (-18.7 Units / -9.51% ROI).
- 60-98 when betting on the Moneyline for -22.2 Units / -13.14% ROI
- 74-79 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.7 Units / -7.84% ROI
- 79-74 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.8 Units / -1.61% ROI
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 79-79 against the Run Line (-11.85 Units / -5.87% ROI).
- 72-86 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.4 Units / -2.46% ROI
- 63-82 when betting on the total runs Over for -27.2 Units / -15.62% ROI
- 82-63 when betting on the total runs Under for +13.05 Units / 7.5% ROI
Robert Anderson: Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opposing hitters have no hits in their last 26 ABs ending on a two-strike changeup from Chase Anderson. — Bryan Baker has the longest active streak at 28.
Chase Anderson has not allowed a home run in any of the last 18.0 innings he’s appeared — George Kirby has the longest active streak at 73.1.
Chase Anderson has not allowed a HR in any of his last three starts dating back to September 15th — George Kirby has the longest active streak at 14.
Chase Anderson has not allowed a hit in the first inning in any of his last three games dating back to September 15th — Nick Lodolo has the longest active streak at 8.
Marcus Stroman: Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Marcus Stroman has not allowed a hit in the first inning in any of his last four games dating back to September 10th — Nick Lodolo has the longest active streak at 8.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .167 (33 GB hits out of 198 GBs) against Marcus Stroman this season — tied for 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: .233 — 98th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 55% (254/461) against Marcus Stroman since the start of last season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 159 total IP; League Avg: 44% — 95th Percentile.
Marcus Stroman has an ERA of 2.06 (74.1 IP) on the road this season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: 3.99 — 97th Percentile.