The Cincinnati Reds (+115) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (-140) on Saturday, June 1, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in Chicago, IL.

This season, the Reds are 25-32 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 29-29 ATS.

Reds vs Cubs Starting Pitchers Today:

• Reds starting pitcher: Hunter Greene 3-2, 3.08 ERA
• Cubs starting pitcher: Justin Steele 0-2, 4.46 ERA

Reds vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Reds vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 54.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Reds vs Cubs and all games with BetMGM

$1500 First Bet Offer

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:

• Stuart Fairchild has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games (+14.00 Units / 140% ROI)
• Elly De La Cruz has hit the Hits Under in 23 of his last 43 games (+12.70 Units / 27% ROI)
• Luke Maile has hit the Runs Under in his last 12 games (+12.00 Units / 44% ROI)
• Jeimer Candelario has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+8.65 Units / 33% ROI)
• Spencer Steer has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+8.60 Units / 52% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Ian Happ has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 games (+15.20 Units / 253% ROI)
• Christopher Morel has hit the Hits Under in 25 of his last 46 games (+14.80 Units / 32% ROI)
• Christopher Morel has hit the Total Bases Under in 29 of his last 46 games (+12.70 Units / 22% ROI)
• Christopher Morel has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 22 games (+12.20 Units / 36% ROI)
• Michael Busch has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 19 games at home (+11.25 Units / 33% ROI)

Reds Best Bets Today:

• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 27 of their last 42 games (+10.30 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 41 games (+9.60 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 39 games (+8.60 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 32 of their last 54 games (+5.75 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.95 Units / 48% ROI)

Cubs Best Bets Today:

• The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 22 of their last 32 games (+10.60 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 11 games at home (+9.20 Units / 74% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 46 games (+7.00 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 27 games at home (+2.15 Units / 6% ROI)

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Reds are 32-25 against the Run Line (+4.75 Units / 6.27% ROI).

• 25-32 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.3 Units / -10.96% ROI
• 26-29 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.45 Units / -10.23% ROI
• 29-26 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.25 Units / 0.4% ROI

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 29-29 against the Run Line (-7.1 Units / -8.66% ROI).

• 28-30 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.6 Units / -2.31% ROI
• 26-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.25 Units / -12.92% ROI
• 31-26 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.3 Units / 3.61% ROI

Cubs vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today

Cubs vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Cubs vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today

Cubs vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a miss rate of 41% (41/101) against Hunter Greene on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.

68% of Hunter Greene’s strikeouts have come on 97+ MPH fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 100th Percentile.

73% of Hunter Greene’s strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 20% — 100th Percentile.

Hunter Greene has struck out 33% (221/665) of left-handed batters he faced since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 151 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 98th Percentile.

Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Justin Steele has thrown inside pitches 45% of the time (249/555) when behind in the count since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 86 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.

Justin Steele has a strike rate of 72% (482/670) with runners in scoring position since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 86 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 100th Percentile.

Justin Steele has thrown fastballs 74% of the time (630/848) on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 86 total IP; League Avg: 51% — 100th Percentile.

Justin Steele has thrown inside pitches 45% of the time (382/848) on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 86 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.

Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs

  
Read Full Article