The Cincinnati Reds (+115) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-135) on Wednesday, September 11, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:45pm EDT in St. Louis, MO.

This season, the Reds are 71-75 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 72-72 ATS.

Reds vs Cardinals Starting Pitchers Today:

• Reds starting pitcher: Brandon Williamson 0-0, 2.25 ERA
• Cardinals starting pitcher: Lance Lynn 6-4, 4.04 ERA

Reds vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Reds vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 53.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:

• TJ Friedl has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 15 away games (+25.50 Units / 170% ROI)
• Jonathan India has hit the Hits Under in 25 of his last 42 games (+20.40 Units / 44% ROI)
• Jonathan India has hit the Singles Under in 29 of his last 42 games (+13.80 Units / 28% ROI)
• Jonathan India has hit the Total Bases Under in 33 of his last 46 games (+13.30 Units / 18% ROI)
• Amed Rosario has hit the Runs Under in 30 of his last 39 games (+12.65 Units / 17% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Masyn Winn has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 25 games at home (+30.50 Units / 122% ROI)
• Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Runs Under in 26 of his last 32 games (+15.60 Units / 28% ROI)
• Nolan Arenado has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 24 games at home (+15.20 Units / 48% ROI)
• Pedro Pages has hit the Hits Over in 25 of his last 33 games (+13.60 Units / 27% ROI)
• Pedro Pages has hit the Singles Over in 22 of his last 35 games (+13.05 Units / 37% ROI)

Reds Best Bets Today:

• The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 74 of their last 128 games (+14.35 Units / 8% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 75 of their last 131 games (+11.60 Units / 8% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 46 away games (+8.25 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 67 of their last 130 games (+6.30 Units / 4% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games (+2.25 Units / 36% ROI)

Cardinals Best Bets Today:

• The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.95 Units / 43% ROI)
• The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 41 of their last 74 games (+5.30 Units / 7% ROI)
• The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 19 games (+5.10 Units / 26% ROI)
• The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 23 games (+2.65 Units / 8% ROI)

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Reds are 82-64 against the Run Line (+10.5 Units / 5.42% ROI).

• 71-75 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.25 Units / -3.04% ROI
• 67-71 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.95 Units / -7.41% ROI
• 71-67 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.05 Units / -1.9% ROI

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 72-72 against the Run Line (-8.35 Units / -4.25% ROI).

• 72-72 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.7 Units / -5.66% ROI
• 68-70 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.5 Units / -6.04% ROI
• 70-68 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.15 Units / -3.27% ROI

Cardinals vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today

Cardinals vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Cardinals vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today

Cardinals vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a miss rate of just 16% (9/56) against Brandon Williamson over the last 14 days — 8th lowest in NL over the last two weeks; League Avg: 28% — eighth Percentile.

Opponents have a swing rate of just 13% (4/31) against Brandon Williamson on the first pitch of at-bats over the last 14 days — 3rd lowest in NL over the last two weeks; League Avg: 31% — second Percentile.

Brandon Williamson has induced opposing hitters to ground into 15 double plays in 86 opportunities (17%) since last season — tied for 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 122 total IP; League Avg: 11% — 97th Percentile.

Brandon Williamson has a first-pitch strike rate of just 45% (14/31) this month (2 games) — 15th lowest among among 140 qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 62% — 10th Percentile.

Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Hitters have swung at 74% of Lance Lynn’s pitches in the zone (2,509/3,400) since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 187 total IP; League Avg: 67% — 100th Percentile.

Lance Lynn has a strike rate of just 61% (960/1,584) in two strike counts since last season — tied for 11th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 122 total IP; League Avg: 64% — ninth Percentile.

24 of Lance Lynn’s 89 breaking pitch strikeouts (27%) have been backdoor since last season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 122 total IP; League Avg: 14% — 95th Percentile.

30 of Lance Lynn’s 139 breaking pitch strikeouts (22%) have been backdoor since the 2022 season — 8th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 187 total IP; League Avg: 13% — 92nd Percentile.

Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

  
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