Reds vs Cardinals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep. 10
Reds vs Cardinals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep. 10

The Cincinnati Reds (+110) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-130) on Tuesday, September 10, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:45pm EDT in St. Louis, MO.

This season, the Reds are 70-75 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 72-71 ATS.

Reds vs Cardinals Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Reds starting pitcher: Rhett Lowder 0-1, 0.87 ERA
  • Cardinals starting pitcher: Andre Pallante 6-7, 4.04 ERA

Reds vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Reds vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 53.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:

  • TJ Friedl has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 14 away games (+26.50 Units / 189% ROI)
  • Jonathan India has hit the Hits Under in 24 of his last 41 games (+18.50 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Jonathan India has hit the Singles Under in 28 of his last 41 games (+12.75 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Jonathan India has hit the Total Bases Under in 32 of his last 45 games (+12.30 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Amed Rosario has hit the Runs Under in 29 of his last 38 games (+11.65 Units / 16% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Masyn Winn has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 25 games at home (+30.50 Units / 122% ROI)
  • Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Runs Under in 25 of his last 31 games (+14.60 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Nolan Arenado has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 23 games at home (+13.85 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Pedro Pages has hit the Hits Over in 24 of his last 32 games (+12.60 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Pedro Pages has hit the Singles Over in 21 of his last 34 games (+12.00 Units / 35% ROI)

  • The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 73 of their last 127 games (+13.35 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 74 of their last 130 games (+10.55 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 45 away games (+7.10 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 54 games (+5.90 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.25 Units / 61% ROI)

  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.95 Units / 52% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 18 games (+6.45 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 41 of their last 73 games (+6.40 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 22 games (+3.65 Units / 11% ROI)

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Reds are 81-64 against the Run Line (+9.5 Units / 4.95% ROI).

  • 70-75 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.4 Units / -3.72% ROI
  • 67-70 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.85 Units / -6.77% ROI
  • 70-67 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.05 Units / -2.55% ROI

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 72-71 against the Run Line (-7.35 Units / -3.76% ROI).

  • 72-71 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.35 Units / -4.91% ROI
  • 68-69 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.4 Units / -5.37% ROI
  • 69-68 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.15 Units / -3.93% ROI

Cardinals vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Paul Goldschmidt (STL) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650
Alec Burleson (STL) 0.5 +500 0.5 -700
Jordan Walker (STL) 0.5 +675 0.5 -1100
Spencer Steer (CIN) 0.5 +700 0.5 -1100
Nolan Arenado (STL) 0.5 +725 0.5 -1200

Cardinals vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Tyler Stephenson (CIN) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Nolan Arenado (STL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Ty France (CIN) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Santiago Espinal (CIN) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Paul Goldschmidt (STL) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170

Cardinals vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Tyler Stephenson (CIN) 0.5 +155 0.5 -210
Nolan Arenado (STL) 0.5 +155 0.5 -210
Paul Goldschmidt (STL) 0.5 +155 0.5 -200
Alec Burleson (STL) 0.5 +160 0.5 -210
Ty France (CIN) 0.5 +180 0.5 -250

Rhett Lowder has allowed no extra-base hits in his last 10.1 innings pitched — Davidjohn Herz has the longest active streak at 20.0.

Opponents have a swing rate of 54% (14/26) against Rhett Lowder on the first pitch of at-bats this month (1 games) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: 33% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 14% (6/44) against Rhett Lowder this month (1 games) — tied for 8th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: 25% — fifth Percentile.

Rhett Lowder has struck out just 7% (1/15) of right-handed batters he faced this month (1 games) — tied for 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: 24% — seventh Percentile.

Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 77% (212/276) against Andre Pallante since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 122 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 67% (580/870) against Andre Pallante since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 186 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 15% (41/276) against Andre Pallante since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 122 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 74% (321/434) against Andre Pallante since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 186 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.

Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

  
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