The Cincinnati Reds (+110) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-135) on Thursday, June 27, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:45pm EDT in St. Louis, MO.
This season, the Reds are 37-43 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 41-38 ATS.
Reds vs Cardinals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Reds starting pitcher: Andrew Abbott 6-6, 3.42 ERA
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Miles Mikolas 6-6, 4.70 ERA
Reds vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Reds vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 51.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Hits Under in 28 of his last 47 games (+18.60 Units / 35% ROI)
- Santiago Espinal has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 7 away games (+17.00 Units / 243% ROI)
- Jeimer Candelario has hit the Total Bases Over in 25 of his last 41 games (+11.60 Units / 23% ROI)
- Will Benson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+11.25 Units / 74% ROI)
- Jake Fraley has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 22 games (+10.45 Units / 45% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Brendan Donovan has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 13 games (+19.50 Units / 150% ROI)
- Brendan Donovan has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 20 games (+15.35 Units / 37% ROI)
- Nolan Gorman has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+12.40 Units / 64% ROI)
- Willson Contreras has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+10.30 Units / 46% ROI)
- Nolan Gorman has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+8.95 Units / 31% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 39 of their last 64 games (+14.65 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 40 of their last 65 games (+11.50 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 36 of their last 62 games (+9.00 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 22 of their last 35 away games (+7.80 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 18 of their last 30 games (+5.20 Units / 15% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 21 games at home (+10.40 Units / 38% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 16 games (+9.95 Units / 51% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Over in 25 of their last 40 games (+8.65 Units / 18% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 11 of their last 14 games at home (+8.50 Units / 53% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 16 games (+8.00 Units / 40% ROI)
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 44-36 against the Run Line (+5.15 Units / 4.86% ROI).
- 37-43 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.2 Units / -7.68% ROI
- 34-43 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.8 Units / -15.65% ROI
- 43-34 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.3 Units / 6.02% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 41-38 against the Run Line (-0.15 Units / -0.14% ROI).
- 41-38 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.5 Units / -3.65% ROI
- 33-41 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.15 Units / -14.15% ROI
- 41-33 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.8 Units / 5.59% ROI
Cardinals vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -400 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (STL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Cardinals vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Jonathan India (CIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Masyn Winn (STL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Cardinals vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Tyler Stephenson (CIN) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (STL) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
Cardinals vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew Abbott (CIN) | 4.5 -115 | 4.5 -115 |
| Miles Mikolas (STL) | 4.5 +110 | 4.5 -145 |
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 18% (18/102) against Andrew Abbott on sliders since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 95 total IP; League Avg: 41% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 20% (17/83) against Andrew Abbott’s curve and slider this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — second Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 33% (62/190) against Andrew Abbott this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — second Percentile.
Andrew Abbott has walked 5 of 135 batters (4%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 9th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 89th Percentile.
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Miles Mikolas has allowed a slugging percentage of .517 (93 Total Bases / 180 ABs) on non-fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .348 — first Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 15% (50/337) against Miles Mikolas this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.
Miles Mikolas has a strikeout rate of just 16% (69 SO in 441 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — third Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .294 (53-for-180) against Miles Mikolas’ non-fastballs this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .216 — third Percentile.