The Cincinnati Reds (+125) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-150) on Friday, September 9, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Milwaukee.
The Brewers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).
The Reds vs Brewers Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Reds are 53-80 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 55-80 ATS.
Reds vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Reds vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Friday‘s matchup with 65.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Reds and Brewers and up-to-date player injuries.
Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Brewers vs Reds and all MLB games with BetMGM
Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- player high – away
Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- player high – home
Brewers vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -650 |
| Christian Yelich | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Hunter Renfroe | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -450 |
| Keston Hiura | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Luis Urias | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
Brewers vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +120 |
| Christian Yelich | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Hunter Renfroe | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +140 |
| Keston Hiura | 0.5 -110 | 0.5 -125 |
| Luis Urias | 0.5 -125 | 0.5 -115 |
Brewers vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -225 |
| Christian Yelich | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -350 |
| Hunter Renfroe | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -200 |
| Keston Hiura | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -375 |
| Luis Urias | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -375 |
Brewers vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jason Alexander | 2.5 -185 | 2.5 +125 |
| Nick Lodolo | 6.5 -130 | 6.5 -110 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Reds Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 62 of their last 107 games (+17.80 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 27 of their last 48 away games (+5.40 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games (+2.25 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.90 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.20 Units / 22% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Brewers: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 62 of their last 118 games (+8.20 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.90 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.00 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.40 Units / 5% ROI)
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 62-70 against the Run Line (-13.6 Units / -8.37% ROI).
- 53-80 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.4 Units / -9.43% ROI
- 66-64 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.15 Units / -3.5% ROI
- 64-66 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.05 Units / -6.19% ROI
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 55-80 against the Run Line (-32.2 Units / -19.81% ROI).
- 71-64 when betting on the Moneyline for -22.65 Units / -10.49% ROI
- 65-64 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.7 Units / -3.15% ROI
- 64-65 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.4 Units / -4.3% ROI
Nicholas Lodolo: Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 31% (53/169) against Nick Lodolo this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 67 total IP; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of just 29% (72/252) against Nick Lodolo on inside fastballs this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 67 total IP; League Avg: 49% — 0 Percentile.
Nick Lodolo has a strike rate of just 59% (238/402) in two strike counts this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 67 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 29% (54/187) against Nick Lodolo this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 67 total IP; League Avg: 24% — second Percentile.
Jason Alexander: Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jason Alexander has not allowed a hit in the first inning in any of his last three games dating back to July 12nd — the longest active streak is 4.
Jason Alexander has a strike rate of just 55% (47/86) this month (1 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 60% (9/15) against Jason Alexander this month (1 games) — tied for 14th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 91st Percentile.
Jason Alexander has a first-pitch strike rate of just 50% (11/22) this month (1 games) — tied for 9th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: 63% — 11th Percentile.