The Cincinnati Reds (+125) visit American Family Fields of Phoenix to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-150) on Sunday, March 19, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Phoenix.
The Brewers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+130).
The Reds vs Brewers Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
During Spring Training, the Reds are 6-7 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 9-7 ATS.
Reds vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Reds vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Sunday‘s Spring Training matchup with 62.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Reds and Brewers and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:
- Stuart Fairchild has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- Kyle Farmer has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 36% ROI)
- Alejo Lopez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 93% ROI)
- Aristides Aquino has hit the Singles Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 43% ROI)
- Michael Siani has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 40% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Kolten Wong has hit the Runs Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Andrew McCutchen has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 100% ROI)
- Christian Yelich has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 6 of his last 9 games at home (+3.00 Units / 32% ROI)
- Esteury Ruiz has hit the Hits Under in his last 2 games (+2.65 Units / 120% ROI)
- Esteury Ruiz has hit the Singles Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 57% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 24 games (+16.41 Units / 60% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 41 of their last 70 games (+13.65 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 73 of their last 134 games (+12.70 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 16 games (+8.30 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 37 of their last 64 away games (+4.25 Units / 5% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 28 of their last 52 games at home (+8.80 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 10 games (+8.75 Units / 74% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games (+8.70 Units / 56% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 45 of their last 78 games at home (+6.12 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.95 Units / 51% ROI)
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 7-7 against the Run Line (-0.3 Units / -1.69% ROI).
- 6-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.45 Units / -2.94% ROI
- 6-8 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.85 Units / -18.51% ROI
- 8-6 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.35 Units / 8.74% ROI
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 9-7 against the Run Line (+0.6 Units / 2.76% ROI).
- 7-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.7 Units / -19.68% ROI
- 5-9 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.15 Units / -28.93% ROI
- 9-5 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.6 Units / 20.57% ROI
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents batted .457 (21-for-46) against Hunter Greene on low fastballs last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .277 — 0 Percentile.
Hunter Greene threw 482 fastballs at 100+ MPH last season — most among pitchers in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Hunter Greene had averaged 98.9 MPH on fastballs last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: 93.4 — 100th Percentile.
Hunter Greene has at least 6 strikeouts in each of his last eight games — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Corbin Burnes located his fastball inside 71% of the time (168/236) last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 35% — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes located his fastball inside 71% of the time (168/236) last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes threw fastballs down 64% of the time (151/236) last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.