The Cincinnati Reds (+115) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-135) on Saturday, June 15, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Milwaukee, WI.

This season, the Reds are 34-35 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 36-33 ATS.

Reds vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:

• Reds starting pitcher: Andrew Abbott 5-5, 3.30 ERA
• Brewers starting pitcher: Bryse Wilson 3-3, 4.19 ERA

Reds vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Reds vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 53.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:

• TJ Friedl has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 11 games (+21.70 Units / 197% ROI)
• Elly De La Cruz has hit the Hits Under in 23 of his last 36 games (+17.20 Units / 40% ROI)
• Jeimer Candelario has hit the Total Bases Over in 22 of his last 32 games (+13.95 Units / 35% ROI)
• Andrew Abbott has hit the Earned Runs Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+9.00 Units / 57% ROI)
• Elly De La Cruz has hit the Runs Under in 25 of his last 38 games (+9.00 Units / 18% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Sal Frelick has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 9 games at home (+19.00 Units / 211% ROI)
• Willy Adames has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 22 games at home (+11.60 Units / 52% ROI)
• Willy Adames has hit the RBIs Over in 13 of his last 24 games at home (+10.10 Units / 42% ROI)
• William Contreras has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 22 games at home (+8.50 Units / 31% ROI)
• Brice Turang has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+7.90 Units / 35% ROI)

Reds Best Bets Today:

• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 21 of their last 30 away games (+11.35 Units / 32% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 51 games (+10.60 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 19 games (+10.35 Units / 47% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 53 games (+10.00 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 54 games (+7.05 Units / 11% ROI)

Brewers Best Bets Today:

• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 31 games at home (+10.25 Units / 30% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 40 of their last 69 games (+9.95 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 20 games at home (+9.30 Units / 40% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 40 of their last 69 games (+6.95 Units / 8% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 20 games at home (+6.20 Units / 26% ROI)

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Reds are 39-30 against the Run Line (+6.75 Units / 7.4% ROI).

• 34-35 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.9 Units / -1.12% ROI
• 31-35 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.15 Units / -10.68% ROI
• 35-31 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.65 Units / 0.86% ROI

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 36-33 against the Run Line (-0.55 Units / -0.58% ROI).

• 40-29 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.95 Units / 11.8% ROI
• 38-28 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.45 Units / 9.84% ROI
• 28-38 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.75 Units / -18.08% ROI

Brewers vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today

Brewers vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Brewers vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today

Brewers vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 15% (5/34) against Andrew Abbott — lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 43% — 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 15% (5/34) against Andrew Abbott this month (2 games) — lowest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 43% — second Percentile.

Andrew Abbott has a first-pitch strike rate of just 48% (24/50) this month (2 games) — 2nd lowest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 63% — fourth Percentile.

Andrew Abbott has walked 12 of 117 batters (10%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — seventh Percentile.

Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a miss rate of just 20% (195/992) against Bryse Wilson since last season — tied for 10th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 28% — fifth Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 17% (45/259) against Bryse Wilson with runners in scoring position since last season — 2nd lowest among NL Relievers; League Avg: 28% — second Percentile.

Bryse Wilson has allowed an OBP of just .241 (328 PA’s) against right-handed batters since last season — tied for 4th best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .304 — 96th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 20% (118/580) against Bryse Wilson since last season — 6th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 28% — sixth Percentile.

Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

  
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