The Cincinnati Reds (+115) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-135) on Friday, August 9, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Milwaukee, WI.

This season, the Reds are 56-59 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 60-54 ATS.

Reds vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:

• Reds starting pitcher: Carson Spiers 4-3, 3.59 ERA
• Brewers starting pitcher: Aaron Civale 2-8, 5.15 ERA

Reds vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Reds vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Friday‘s MLB game with 53.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:

• TJ Friedl has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 28 games (+31.10 Units / 111% ROI)
• Elly De La Cruz has hit the Stolen Bases Over in 15 of his last 24 away games (+15.90 Units / 66% ROI)
• Spencer Steer has hit the Singles Under in 23 of his last 31 games (+13.70 Units / 35% ROI)
• Santiago Espinal has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+10.65 Units / 49% ROI)
• Jonathan India has hit the Walks Over in 13 of his last 22 games (+9.55 Units / 43% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Jackson Chourio has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 23 games at home (+24.50 Units / 107% ROI)
• Jackson Chourio has hit the Runs Over in 22 of his last 33 games (+17.40 Units / 51% ROI)
• Jackson Chourio has hit the Total Bases Over in 23 of his last 31 games (+15.75 Units / 40% ROI)
• Jackson Chourio has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 24 of his last 33 games (+14.80 Units / 37% ROI)
• William Contreras has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 24 games (+13.20 Units / 52% ROI)

Reds Best Bets Today:

• The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 56 of their last 97 games (+11.05 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 31 away games (+7.85 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 53 of their last 99 games (+7.75 Units / 7% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 56 of their last 100 games (+5.85 Units / 5% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.80 Units / 32% ROI)

Brewers Best Bets Today:

• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 62 of their last 110 games (+16.45 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 65 of their last 114 games (+9.70 Units / 7% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 40 games at home (+8.95 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 64 of their last 114 games (+8.00 Units / 6% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Over in 24 of their last 40 games at home (+6.40 Units / 14% ROI)

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Reds are 64-51 against the Run Line (+7.2 Units / 4.75% ROI).

• 56-59 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.3 Units / -3.81% ROI
• 53-57 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.6 Units / -8.34% ROI
• 57-53 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.6 Units / -1.27% ROI

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 60-54 against the Run Line (+2.95 Units / 1.96% ROI).

• 65-49 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.7 Units / 6.72% ROI
• 63-45 when betting on the total runs Over for +14.25 Units / 11.46% ROI
• 45-63 when betting on the total runs Under for -24.6 Units / -19.46% ROI

Brewers vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today

Brewers vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Brewers vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today

Brewers vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Carson Spiers has walked 11 of 239 batters (5%) this season — tied for 10th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 45 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 94th Percentile.

77% of Carson Spiers’ non-fastball strikeouts are located away this season — 7th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 45 total IP; League Avg: 52% — 96th Percentile.

Carson Spiers has allowed three-ball counts to 13% of batters they faced (31/239 PA’s) this season — tied for 10th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 45 total IP; League Avg: 19% — 94th Percentile.

73% of Carson Spiers’ called strikeouts are outside this season — 10th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 45 total IP; League Avg: 51% — 94th Percentile.

Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

The average home run distance against Aaron Civale in the 2023 season was 381.4 feet — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 399.8

The average home run distance against Aaron Civale since last season is 383.5 feet — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 110 total IP; League Avg: 399.0

Aaron Civale has thrown elevated pitches 49% of the time (462/936) vs left-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 45 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .137 (10 GB hits out of 73 GBs) against Aaron Civale with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 174 total IP; League Avg: .239 — 99th Percentile.

Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

  
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