The Cincinnati Reds (+180) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-225) on Friday, August 5, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Milwaukee.
The Brewers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-105).
The Reds vs Brewers Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Reds are 42-62 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 44-61 ATS.
Reds vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Reds vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Friday‘s matchup with 53.8% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Reds and Brewers and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Albert Almora Jr. has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 26 games (+11.60 Units / 31% ROI)
- Tyler Stephenson has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 away games (+10.65 Units / 25% ROI)
- Joey Votto has hit the Runs Under in 26 of his last 35 away games (+10.10 Units / 17% ROI)
- Albert Almora Jr. has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+9.80 Units / 56% ROI)
- Brandon Drury has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 16 away games (+9.30 Units / 55% ROI)
Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jace Peterson has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.45 Units / 46% ROI)
- Kolten Wong has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 13 games (+10.35 Units / 37% ROI)
- Kolten Wong has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 26 games (+10.20 Units / 25% ROI)
- Jace Peterson has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.10 Units / 44% ROI)
- Jace Peterson has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+9.35 Units / 62% ROI)
Brewers vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -600 |
| Christian Yelich | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Hunter Renfroe | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -450 |
| Kolten Wong | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Luis Urias | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
Brewers vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +155 |
| Christian Yelich | 1.5 +180 | 1.5 -275 |
| Hunter Renfroe | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Kolten Wong | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +155 |
| Luis Urias | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +125 |
Brewers vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -200 |
| Christian Yelich | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Hunter Renfroe | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -175 |
| Kolten Wong | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -250 |
| Luis Urias | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -250 |
Brewers vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eric Lauer | 5.5 -125 | 5.5 -110 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Reds Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 46 of their last 76 games (+15.45 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 27 games (+10.15 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 44 of their last 78 games (+9.10 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 18 of their last 29 away games (+7.50 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 19 games (+6.90 Units / 33% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Brewers: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 49 of their last 85 games (+15.45 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 49 of their last 85 games (+11.50 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 44 games (+10.00 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games at home (+5.95 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.00 Units / 23% ROI)
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 50-54 against the Run Line (-9.8 Units / -7.53% ROI).
- 42-62 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.8 Units / -8.78% ROI
- 54-49 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.55 Units / -0.48% ROI
- 49-54 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.55 Units / -9.24% ROI
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 44-61 against the Run Line (-21.75 Units / -16.99% ROI).
- 57-48 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.3 Units / -9.15% ROI
- 54-46 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.7 Units / 3.19% ROI
- 46-54 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.65 Units / -10.94% ROI
Robert Dugger: Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Eric Lauer: Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 34% (100/293) against Eric Lauer this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — sixth Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 32% (81/254) against Eric Lauer this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — fifth Percentile.
Eric Lauer has allowed a slugging percentage of .438 (173 Total Bases / 395 ABs) this season — 10th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .382 — 15th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% (33/159) against Eric Lauer with runners in scoring position this season — tied for 10th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 18th Percentile.