The Cincinnati Reds (+135) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-165) on Monday, September 9, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Atlanta, GA.

This season, the Reds are 69-75 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 66-77 ATS.

Reds vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:

• Reds starting pitcher: Nick Martinez 7-6, 3.67 ERA
• Braves starting pitcher: Charlie Morton 8-7, 4.30 ERA

Reds vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Reds vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Monday‘s MLB game with 53.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Reds vs Braves and all games with BetMGM

$1500 First Bet Offer

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:

• TJ Friedl has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 13 away games (+27.50 Units / 212% ROI)
• Jonathan India has hit the Hits Under in 24 of his last 41 games (+18.50 Units / 41% ROI)
• Santiago Espinal has hit the Total Bases Over in 23 of his last 33 games (+13.15 Units / 26% ROI)
• Jonathan India has hit the Singles Under in 28 of his last 41 games (+12.75 Units / 26% ROI)
• TJ Friedl has hit the Runs Under in 30 of his last 41 games (+12.65 Units / 19% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Ramon Laureano has hit the Hits Over in 24 of his last 29 games (+16.50 Units / 34% ROI)
• Marcell Ozuna has hit the RBIs Under in 23 of his last 27 games (+16.10 Units / 34% ROI)
• Marcell Ozuna has hit the Singles Over in 21 of his last 27 games (+15.40 Units / 52% ROI)
• Michael Harris II has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+13.70 Units / 38% ROI)
• Marcell Ozuna has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+12.75 Units / 42% ROI)

Reds Best Bets Today:

• The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 72 of their last 126 games (+12.35 Units / 7% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 73 of their last 129 games (+9.55 Units / 6% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 53 games (+7.00 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 44 away games (+5.80 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 23 games (+1.75 Units / 6% ROI)

Braves Best Bets Today:

• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 83 of their last 129 games (+36.40 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 21 games (+7.00 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 26 games (+4.60 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+4.40 Units / 39% ROI)

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Reds are 80-64 against the Run Line (+8.5 Units / 4.47% ROI).

• 69-75 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.7 Units / -4.51% ROI
• 67-69 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.75 Units / -6.13% ROI
• 69-67 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.05 Units / -3.2% ROI

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Braves are 66-77 against the Run Line (-14.45 Units / -8.35% ROI).

• 78-65 when betting on the Moneyline for -20.5 Units / -8.78% ROI
• 52-86 when betting on the total runs Over for -41.55 Units / -26.63% ROI
• 86-52 when betting on the total runs Under for +28.55 Units / 17.98% ROI

Braves vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today

Braves vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Braves vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today

Braves vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Nick Martinez has walked 23 of 419 left-handed batters (6%) since last season — 15th best among among 143 qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 10% — 90th Percentile.

Hitters have swung at 35% of Nick Martinez’s breaking pitches (336/946) since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 47% — second Percentile.

Nick Martinez has located his fastball inside 49% of the time (344/704) this season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: 34% — 97th Percentile.

Nick Martinez has located his fastball inside 47% of the time (957/2,028) since the 2022 season — 2nd highest among NL Relievers; League Avg: 35% — 98th Percentile.

Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 46% of the time (1,289/2,784) vs left-handed batters since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 121 total CB; League Avg: 17% — 100th Percentile.

Charlie Morton has allowed an OBP of .349 (767 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .295 — fourth Percentile.

Charlie Morton has walked 77 of 769 batters (10%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — eighth Percentile.

Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 43% of the time (2,246/5,262) since last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 121 total CB; League Avg: 16% — 99th Percentile.

Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

  
Read Full Article