Reds vs Braves Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul. 23
Reds vs Braves Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul. 23

The Cincinnati Reds (+125) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-150) on Tuesday, July 23, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20pm EDT in Atlanta, GA.

This season, the Reds are 48-53 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 44-55 ATS.

Reds vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Reds starting pitcher: Undecided 0-0, 0.00 ERA
  • Braves starting pitcher: Chris Sale 13-3, 2.71 ERA

Reds vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Reds vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 66.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


Bet now on Reds vs Braves and all games with BetMGM

$1500 First Bet Offer


We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Elly De La Cruz has hit the Hits Under in 28 of his last 47 games (+18.60 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Santiago Espinal has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 7 away games (+17.00 Units / 243% ROI)
  • Jeimer Candelario has hit the Total Bases Over in 25 of his last 41 games (+11.60 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Will Benson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+11.25 Units / 74% ROI)
  • Jake Fraley has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 22 games (+10.45 Units / 45% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Orlando Arcia has hit the Runs Under in 26 of his last 30 games (+19.10 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Jarred Kelenic has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 37 games (+18.20 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Orlando Arcia has hit the Singles Under in 35 of his last 50 games (+16.30 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Austin Riley has hit the RBIs Under in 38 of his last 50 games (+16.05 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Adam Duvall has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 23 games (+15.25 Units / 49% ROI)

  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 48 of their last 85 games (+11.60 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 32 of their last 51 games (+10.80 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 29 of their last 46 away games (+10.20 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 48 of their last 83 games (+10.20 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 21 away games (+8.70 Units / 38% ROI)

  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 57 of their last 85 games (+30.30 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 34 of their last 54 games (+10.89 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 20 games at home (+0.40 Units / 1% ROI)

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Reds are 56-45 against the Run Line (+6.35 Units / 4.8% ROI).

  • 48-53 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.55 Units / -5.38% ROI
  • 45-52 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.25 Units / -11.85% ROI
  • 52-45 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.25 Units / 2.04% ROI

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Braves are 44-55 against the Run Line (-11.85 Units / -10.3% ROI).

  • 54-45 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.25 Units / -9.31% ROI
  • 34-60 when betting on the total runs Over for -31.4 Units / -29.02% ROI
  • 60-34 when betting on the total runs Under for +22.45 Units / 20.46% ROI

Braves vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Marcell Ozuna (ATL) 0.5 +300 0.5 -400
Matt Olson (ATL) 0.5 +375 0.5 -550
Austin Riley (ATL) 0.5 +425 0.5 -650
Adam Duvall (ATL) 0.5 +475 0.5 -700
Jarred Kelenic (ATL) 0.5 +500 0.5 -750

Braves vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jonathan India (CIN) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Tyler Stephenson (CIN) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Austin Riley (ATL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Marcell Ozuna (ATL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Spencer Steer (CIN) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165

Braves vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Marcell Ozuna (ATL) 0.5 +135 0.5 -175
Spencer Steer (CIN) 0.5 +155 0.5 -200
Jeimer Candelario (CIN) 0.5 +155 0.5 -210
Tyler Stephenson (CIN) 0.5 +170 0.5 -225
Austin Riley (ATL) 0.5 +170 0.5 -225

Braves vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Hunter Greene (CIN) 6.5 -120 6.5 -110

Frankie Montas has allowed a slugging percentage of .811 (30 Total Bases / 37 ABs) vs left-handed batters this month (3 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .404 — first Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 25% (7/28) against Frankie Montas this month (3 games) — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — third Percentile.

Frankie Montas has walked 4 of 27 batters (15%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (3 games) — tied for 2nd highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 8% — sixth Percentile.

Frankie Montas has allowed an OPS of 1.382 (18 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game in his last two starts — 4th highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .719 — third Percentile.

Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

20 of Chris Sale’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor this season — most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 100th Percentile.

Chris Sale has allowed a slugging percentage of just .208 (51 Total Bases / 245 ABs) on non-fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .352 — 100th Percentile.

Chris Sale has allowed a slugging percentage of just .216 (32 Total Bases / 148 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .374 — 98th Percentile.

Chris Sale has a strikeout rate of 35% (56 SO in 162 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 98th Percentile.

Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

  
Read Full Article