Reds vs Braves Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 12
Reds vs Braves Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 12

The Cincinnati Reds (+200) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-250) on Wednesday, April 12, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20pm EDT in Atlanta.

The Braves are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-130).

The Reds vs Braves Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

This season, the Reds are 4-6 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 5-7 ATS.

Reds vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Reds vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Reds and Braves and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Jonathan India has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+7.30 Units / 73% ROI)
  • Jason Vosler has hit the Singles Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 48% ROI)
  • TJ Friedl has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.85 Units / 74% ROI)
  • Jonathan India has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+6.15 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Tyler Stephenson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+5.00 Units / 52% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Eddie Rosario has hit the Runs Under in his last 8 games at home (+8.00 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Eddie Rosario has hit the Total Bases Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.65 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Eddie Rosario has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 8 games (+6.05 Units / 76% ROI)
  • Austin Riley has hit the Hits Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.00 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Matt Olson has hit the RBIs Over in 5 of his last 7 games at home (+5.80 Units / 83% ROI)

  • The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 9 games (+5.25 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.80 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 9 games (+3.05 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Over in their last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Over in their last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 90% ROI)

  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.45 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+3.15 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in their last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 94% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+2.70 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.55 Units / 10% ROI)

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 7-3 against the Run Line (+4.25 Units / 34.27% ROI).

  • 4-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.6 Units / -14.35% ROI
  • 6-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.75 Units / 16.06% ROI
  • 4-6 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.55 Units / -22.97% ROI

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 5-7 against the Run Line (-1.85 Units / -12.71% ROI).

  • 8-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.7 Units / 13.74% ROI
  • 6-6 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.7 Units / -5.34% ROI
  • 6-6 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.8 Units / -6.02% ROI

Hunter Greene has thrown 559 fastballs at 100+ MPH since last season — most among pitchers in MLB — 100th Percentile.

Hunter Greene has thrown 77 fastballs at 100+ MPH this season — most among pitchers in MLB — 100th Percentile.

Hunter Greene threw 482 fastballs at 100+ MPH in 2022 — most among pitchers in MLB — 100th Percentile.

Hunter Greene has an average fastball velocity of 99.9 MPH this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 93.4 — 100th Percentile.

Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Spencer Strider has struck out 43% (12/28) of left-handed batters he faced this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 98th Percentile.

Spencer Strider has a strikeout rate of 40% (18 SO in 45 PAs) this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 96th Percentile.

Spencer Strider has struck out 44% (117/268) of right-handed batters he faced since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 68 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.

  
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