The Boston Red Sox (+130) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-155) on Saturday, September 24, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05pm EDT in Bronx.

The Yankees are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5.

The Red Sox vs Yankees Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Red Sox are 70-78 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 64-83 ATS.

Red Sox vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Red Sox vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Saturday‘s matchup with 54.7% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Red Sox and Yankees and up-to-date player injuries.

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Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

• Alex Verdugo has hit the Hits Over in 40 of his last 53 away games (+22.80 Units / 21% ROI)
• Rafael Devers has hit the Hits Under in 30 of his last 43 games (+17.75 Units / 22% ROI)
• Alex Verdugo has hit the Total Bases Over in 30 of his last 51 away games (+15.95 Units / 28% ROI)
• Alex Verdugo has hit the Singles Over in 37 of his last 52 away games (+15.80 Units / 21% ROI)
• Rafael Devers has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 27 away games (+11.45 Units / 32% ROI)

Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

• Andrew Benintendi has hit the Runs Under in 47 of his last 66 games at home (+16.20 Units / 16% ROI)
• Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+15.15 Units / 45% ROI)
• DJ LeMahieu has hit the Hits Under in his last 9 games (+11.80 Units / 64% ROI)
• Andrew Benintendi has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 18 games at home (+11.30 Units / 38% ROI)
• Aaron Judge has hit the Total Bases Over in 36 of his last 59 games (+10.85 Units / 16% ROI)

Yankees vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yankees vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Yankees vs Red Sox RBI Prop Bets Today

Yankees vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Positive Betting Trends for the Red Sox Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals

• The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 38 of their last 68 games (+8.05 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 70 of their last 130 games (+6.50 Units / 4% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.25 Units / 56% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 17 games (+2.15 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 18 games (+0.75 Units / 3% ROI)

Positive Betting Trends for the Yankees: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals

• The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 20 of their last 30 games at home (+9.00 Units / 27% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 15 games (+8.95 Units / 56% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.35 Units / 29% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 14 games at home (+6.80 Units / 41% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in their last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 51% ROI)

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Red Sox have gone 75-71 against the Run Line (-0.15 Units / -0.08% ROI).

• 70-78 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.45 Units / -8.99% ROI
• 68-70 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.95 Units / -4.88% ROI
• 70-68 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.25 Units / -2.6% ROI

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Red Sox have gone 64-83 against the Run Line (-21.75 Units / -12.72% ROI).

• 92-57 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.6 Units / 0.6% ROI
• 72-72 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.15 Units / -4.37% ROI
• 72-72 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.7 Units / -4.67% ROI

Nicholas Pivetta: Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Nick Pivetta has walked 63 of 707 batters (9%) this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — sixth Percentile.

Nick Pivetta has an ERA of 6.65 (65.0 IP) against division opponents this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 3.39 — second Percentile.

Nick Pivetta has thrown elevated pitches 42% of the time (483/1,144) when behind in the count since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — 100th Percentile.

Nick Pivetta has thrown elevated pitches 46% of the time (644/1,387) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.

Domingo German: Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

The average home run distance against Domingo German since the start of last season is 382.7 feet — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 155 total IP; League Avg: 399.1

Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 24% (5/21) against Domingo German this month (4 games) — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 43% — fourth Percentile.

Domingo German has walked 4 of 38 right-handed batters (10%) this month (4 games) — 14th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 11th Percentile.

Domingo German has thrown off-speed pitches 67% of the time (35/52) when he’s behind in the count this month (4 games) — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total NonFB; League Avg: 37% — 97th Percentile.

Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

  
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