The Boston Red Sox (+185) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-225) on Friday, September 23, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Bronx.
The Yankees are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-110).
The Red Sox vs Yankees Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Red Sox are 70-77 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 64-82 ATS.
Red Sox vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Red Sox vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Friday‘s matchup with 65.2% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Red Sox and Yankees and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Alex Verdugo has hit the Hits Over in 39 of his last 52 away games (+21.80 Units / 21% ROI)
- Alex Verdugo has hit the Singles Over in 37 of his last 51 away games (+16.80 Units / 23% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the Hits Under in 29 of his last 42 games (+16.50 Units / 21% ROI)
- Alex Verdugo has hit the Total Bases Over in 29 of his last 50 away games (+14.95 Units / 27% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the Runs Under in 29 of his last 42 games (+11.60 Units / 21% ROI)
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the Runs Under in 47 of his last 66 games at home (+16.20 Units / 16% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 17 games (+14.15 Units / 45% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Total Bases Over in 36 of his last 58 games (+11.95 Units / 17% ROI)
- DJ LeMahieu has hit the Hits Under in his last 9 games (+11.80 Units / 64% ROI)
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 18 games at home (+11.30 Units / 38% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Red Sox Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 70 of their last 129 games (+7.50 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 37 of their last 67 games (+7.05 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 16 games (+3.40 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 17 games (+1.75 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.25 Units / 22% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Yankees: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.90 Units / 53% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.70 Units / 48% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.35 Units / 28% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 5 games at home (+5.50 Units / 84% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in their last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 53% ROI)
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Red Sox have gone 74-71 against the Run Line (-1.15 Units / -0.63% ROI).
- 70-77 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.45 Units / -8.49% ROI
- 67-70 when betting on the total runs Over for -9 Units / -5.56% ROI
- 70-67 when betting on the total runs Under for -3 Units / -1.85% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Red Sox have gone 64-82 against the Run Line (-20.6 Units / -12.12% ROI).
- 91-57 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.6 Units / 0.23% ROI
- 71-72 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.2 Units / -5.05% ROI
- 72-71 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.45 Units / -3.94% ROI
Richard Hill: Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Rich Hill has thrown his curveball 46% of the time (1,950/4,223) since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 155 total CB; League Avg: 16% — 100th Percentile.
Rich Hill has thrown his curveball 41% of the time (1,236/2,982) in non-two strike counts since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 155 total CB; League Avg: 15% — 100th Percentile.
Rich Hill has thrown his curveball 44% of the time (537/1,219) in non-two strike counts this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 74 total CB; League Avg: 16% — 100th Percentile.
Rich Hill has thrown his curveball 44% of the time (480/1,080) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 155 total CB; League Avg: 16% — 100th Percentile.
Gerrit Cole: Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
53% of Gerrit Cole’s strikeouts have come on 97+ MPH fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 38% (327/858) against Gerrit Cole in non-two strike counts this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 38% (80/213) against Gerrit Cole on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 95th Percentile.
Gerrit Cole has located his pitches away 58% of the time (618/1,057) with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.