Red Sox vs Yankees Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep. 22
Red Sox vs Yankees Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep. 22

The Boston Red Sox (+120) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-145) on Thursday, September 22, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in Bronx.

The Yankees are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+140).

The Red Sox vs Yankees Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Red Sox are 70-76 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 64-81 ATS.

Red Sox vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Red Sox vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Thursday‘s matchup with 57.5% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Red Sox and Yankees and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Alex Verdugo has hit the Hits Over in 38 of his last 51 away games (+20.80 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Alex Verdugo has hit the Total Bases Over in 29 of his last 49 away games (+15.95 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Alex Verdugo has hit the Singles Over in 36 of his last 50 away games (+15.80 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Rafael Devers has hit the Hits Under in 28 of his last 41 games (+15.50 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Xander Bogaerts has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 19 games (+13.40 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today

    And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Andrew Benintendi has hit the Runs Under in 47 of his last 66 games at home (+16.20 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 16 games (+15.15 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Aaron Judge has hit the Total Bases Over in 36 of his last 57 games (+13.25 Units / 20% ROI)
  • DJ LeMahieu has hit the Hits Under in his last 9 games (+11.80 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Andrew Benintendi has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 18 games at home (+11.30 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Yankees vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Aaron Judge 0.5 +190 0.5 -275
    Anthony Rizzo 0.5 +275 0.5 -450
    Giancarlo Stanton 0.5 +333 0.5 -600
    Gleyber Torres 0.5 +475 0.5 -1000
    Isiah Kiner-Falefa 0.5 +1150 0.5

    Yankees vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Aaron Judge 1.5 +175 1.5 -250
    Anthony Rizzo 0.5 -200 0.5 +135
    Giancarlo Stanton 0.5 -190 0.5 +130
    Gleyber Torres 0.5 -275 0.5 +180
    Isiah Kiner-Falefa 0.5 -225 0.5 +150

    Yankees vs Red Sox RBI Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Aaron Judge 0.5 +120 0.5 -165
    Anthony Rizzo 0.5 +150 0.5 -225
    Giancarlo Stanton 0.5 +175 0.5 -250
    Gleyber Torres 0.5 +165 0.5 -250
    Isiah Kiner-Falefa 0.5 +270 0.5 -450

    Yankees vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Jameson Taillon 4.5 +105 4.5 -150
    Michael Wacha 4.5 +110 4.5 -155

  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 37 of their last 66 games (+8.05 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 41 of their last 74 away games (+6.45 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.50 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 16 games (+2.75 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 18 games (+0.90 Units / 4% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 11 of their last 13 games (+8.70 Units / 58% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.90 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.35 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+3.40 Units / 52% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.95 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this MLB season, the Red Sox have gone 73-71 against the Run Line (-2.15 Units / -1.18% ROI).

    • 70-76 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.45 Units / -7.99% ROI
    • 66-70 when betting on the total runs Over for -10 Units / -6.22% ROI
    • 70-66 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.9 Units / -1.18% ROI

    Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this MLB season, the Red Sox have gone 64-81 against the Run Line (-19.6 Units / -11.6% ROI).

    • 90-57 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.4 Units / -0.15% ROI
    • 70-72 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.2 Units / -5.7% ROI
    • 72-70 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.35 Units / -3.29% ROI

    Hitters have swung at 76% of Michael Wacha’s pitches (62/82) with two-strikes this month (3 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 61% — 100th Percentile.

    Michael Wacha has not walked any of the 30 batters that he has faced vs left-handed batters this month (3 games) — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.

    Michael Wacha has not walked any of the 75 batters that he has faced this month (3 games) — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 100th Percentile.

    Opponents have a swing rate of 49% (1,234/2,514) against Michael Wacha in non-two strike counts since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 155 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.

    Jameson Taillon: Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

    Opponents are hitting .439 (29-for-66) against Jameson Taillon on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .339 — sixth Percentile.

    Opponents have a chase percentage of 49% (26/53) against Jameson Taillon in late innings this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 74 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.

    Jameson Taillon has walked 10 of 356 right-handed batters (3%) this season — tied for 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 97th Percentile.

    Jameson Taillon has a strikeout rate of just 13% (18 SO in 139 PAs) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 21% — sixth Percentile.

    Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

      
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