The Boston Red Sox (+145) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-175) on Thursday, September 12, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in New York City, NY.

This season, the Red Sox are 74-72 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 76-70 ATS.

Red Sox vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:

• Red Sox starting pitcher: Cooper Criswell 6-4, 4.17 ERA
• Yankees starting pitcher: Nestor Cortes 9-10, 3.98 ERA

Red Sox vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Red Sox vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 65.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:

• Jarren Duran has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 25 away games (+29.20 Units / 117% ROI)
• Romy Gonzalez has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 22 away games (+18.25 Units / 47% ROI)
• Rafael Devers has hit the RBIs Under in 28 of his last 34 games (+17.45 Units / 29% ROI)
• Rafael Devers has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 19 games (+13.85 Units / 63% ROI)
• Rafael Devers has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 19 games (+13.00 Units / 55% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Gleyber Torres has hit the Singles Over in 29 of his last 35 games (+21.90 Units / 49% ROI)
• Gleyber Torres has hit the Hits Over in 36 of his last 48 games (+21.15 Units / 22% ROI)
• Jose Trevino has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 14 games at home (+14.35 Units / 72% ROI)
• Jose Trevino has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 13 games at home (+14.00 Units / 98% ROI)
• Jazz Chisholm has hit the Home Runs Over in 10 of his last 46 games (+12.60 Units / 27% ROI)

Red Sox Best Bets Today:

• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 32 of their last 50 away games (+14.45 Units / 26% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 42 of their last 68 away games (+10.75 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 38 of their last 68 away games (+8.75 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 20 games (+6.65 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.90 Units / 46% ROI)

Yankees Best Bets Today:

• The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 56 of their last 89 games (+21.40 Units / 22% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 61 of their last 112 games (+12.75 Units / 9% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 34 games (+9.30 Units / 24% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 25 games (+8.05 Units / 27% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.00 Units / 11% ROI)

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 67-79 against the Run Line (-20.75 Units / -10.79% ROI).

• 74-72 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.15 Units / -3.95% ROI
• 74-65 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.75 Units / 1.72% ROI
• 65-74 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.75 Units / -9.9% ROI

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 76-70 against the Run Line (+9.05 Units / 5.12% ROI).

• 84-62 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.8 Units / -5.95% ROI
• 79-63 when betting on the total runs Over for +9.25 Units / 5.74% ROI
• 63-79 when betting on the total runs Under for -23.65 Units / -14.76% ROI

Yankees vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yankees vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Yankees vs Red Sox RBI Prop Bets Today

Yankees vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opposing hitters have a groundball rate of 59% (41/69) against Cooper Criswell when he’s behind in the count this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: 39% — 98th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 69% (76/110) against Cooper Criswell’s changeup this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: 50% — 98th Percentile.

Division opponents are hitting .353 (36-for-102) against Cooper Criswell this season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: .245 — third Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 18% (77/427) against Cooper Criswell on non-fastballs this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: 31% — first Percentile.

Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 33% (126/385) against Nestor Cortes this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — third Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .148 (8-for-54) against Nestor Cortes on low fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .270 — 100th Percentile.

Nestor Cortes has allowed an OPS of .843 (257 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .675 — eighth Percentile.

Nestor Cortes has allowed a slugging percentage of .515 (124 Total Bases / 241 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .385 — fourth Percentile.

Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

  
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