The Boston Red Sox (+125) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-150) on Sunday, July 7, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in New York City, NY.

This season, the Red Sox are 48-40 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 49-42 ATS.

Red Sox vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:

• Red Sox starting pitcher: Kutter Crawford 4-7, 3.48 ERA
• Yankees starting pitcher: Luis Gil 9-4, 3.42 ERA

Red Sox vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Red Sox vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 54.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Red Sox vs Yankees and all games with BetMGM

$1500 First Bet Offer

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:

• Rafael Devers has hit the Runs Over in 27 of his last 39 games (+16.65 Units / 39% ROI)
• Rafael Devers has hit the Home Runs Over in 11 of his last 37 games (+11.95 Units / 32% ROI)
• Jarren Duran has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+11.75 Units / 53% ROI)
• Jarren Duran has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 25 of his last 38 games (+10.15 Units / 22% ROI)
• Jarren Duran has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.70 Units / 55% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Aaron Judge has hit the Home Runs Over in 22 of his last 45 games (+23.90 Units / 53% ROI)
• Aaron Judge has hit the Runs Over in 37 of his last 47 games (+22.30 Units / 34% ROI)
• Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Over in 35 of his last 47 games (+18.15 Units / 19% ROI)
• Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 33 of his last 47 games (+17.95 Units / 33% ROI)
• Aaron Judge has hit the Total Bases Over in 30 of his last 46 games (+13.55 Units / 26% ROI)

Red Sox Best Bets Today:

• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 45 games (+14.80 Units / 30% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 42 away games (+13.05 Units / 26% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 28 of their last 42 away games (+11.30 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.45 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 45 of their last 88 games (+4.35 Units / 4% ROI)

Yankees Best Bets Today:

• The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 34 of their last 57 games (+16.00 Units / 24% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 34 games (+15.90 Units / 42% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 36 of their last 57 games (+12.95 Units / 19% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 41 of their last 68 games (+10.84 Units / 13% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 35 of their last 60 games (+6.05 Units / 7% ROI)

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 41-47 against the Run Line (-11.55 Units / -9.91% ROI).

• 48-40 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.2 Units / 3.91% ROI
• 43-40 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.35 Units / -0.36% ROI
• 40-43 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.1 Units / -7.3% ROI

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 49-42 against the Run Line (+12.3 Units / 11.47% ROI).

• 55-36 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.2 Units / 2.39% ROI
• 48-40 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.75 Units / 3.74% ROI
• 40-48 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.85 Units / -12.84% ROI

Yankees vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yankees vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Yankees vs Red Sox RBI Prop Bets Today

Yankees vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 32% (31/98) against Kutter Crawford in two-strike counts this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — fifth Percentile.

Kutter Crawford has allowed at least one HR in each of his last eight games dating back to May 18th — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.

Left-handed batters are hitting just .193 (36-for-187) against Kutter Crawford this season — tied for 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .239 — 92nd Percentile.

Kutter Crawford has allowed a slugging percentage of just .217 (10 Total Bases / 46 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .364 — 93rd Percentile.

Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Luis Gil has walked 48 of 372 batters (13%) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.

Luis Gil has walked 25 of 205 right-handed batters (12%) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — first Percentile.

Luis Gil has walked 24 of 141 batters (17%) versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.

Luis Gil has allowed three-ball counts to 27% of batters they faced (55/205 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 18% — second Percentile.

Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

  
Read Full Article