The Boston Red Sox (-210) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (+170) on Saturday, June 8, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Chicago, IL.
This season, the Red Sox are 32-32 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 27-37 ATS.
Red Sox vs White Sox Starting Pitchers Today:
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Brayan Bello 6-2, 4.39 ERA
- White Sox starting pitcher: Nick Nastrini 0-5, 9.75 ERA
Red Sox vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Red Sox vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 65.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jarren Duran has hit the Singles Under in 33 of his last 50 games (+17.05 Units / 32% ROI)
- Rob Refsnyder has hit the Hits Over in his last 13 games (+15.65 Units / 67% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 22 games (+12.45 Units / 57% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the Runs Over in 17 of his last 24 games (+10.50 Units / 39% ROI)
- Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 17 away games (+8.20 Units / 40% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Paul DeJong has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 27 games (+19.35 Units / 72% ROI)
- Andrew Vaughn has hit the RBIs Over in 11 of his last 20 games at home (+11.10 Units / 56% ROI)
- Andrew Vaughn has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+9.35 Units / 25% ROI)
- Gavin Sheets has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 16 games at home (+8.15 Units / 33% ROI)
- Gavin Sheets has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 16 games at home (+7.10 Units / 35% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 17 of their last 25 games (+7.75 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 33 of their last 64 games (+7.75 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 29 away games (+6.70 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 51 games (+6.45 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 33 games (+5.25 Units / 14% ROI)
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games (+7.65 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games (+6.95 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 6 games (+3.05 Units / 46% ROI)
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 29-35 against the Run Line (-11.5 Units / -13.2% ROI).
- 32-32 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.65 Units / -3.43% ROI
- 27-33 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.8 Units / -12.49% ROI
- 33-27 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.7 Units / 5.25% ROI
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 27-37 against the Run Line (-13.6 Units / -17.97% ROI).
- 16-48 when betting on the Moneyline for -25.95 Units / -40.52% ROI
- 31-29 when betting on the total runs Over for -1 Units / -1.43% ROI
- 29-31 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.55 Units / -6.62% ROI
White Sox vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -300 |
| Enmanuel Valdez (BOS) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -400 |
| Luis Robert (CWS) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Jarren Duran (BOS) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Bobby Dalbec (BOS) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -650 |
White Sox vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rob Refsnyder (BOS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Enmanuel Valdez (BOS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Connor Wong (BOS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Dominic Smith (BOS) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Luis Robert (CWS) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
White Sox vs Red Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -135 |
| Enmanuel Valdez (BOS) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Luis Robert (CWS) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Jarren Duran (BOS) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Connor Wong (BOS) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
White Sox vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brayan Bello (BOS) | 5.5 -115 | 5.5 -110 |
| Nick Nastrini (CWS) | 4.5 +100 | 4.5 -130 |
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 16% (67/415) against Brayan Bello since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 154 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 73% (25/34) against Brayan Bello — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 42% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 61% (144/236) against Brayan Bello in two-strike counts since last season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 89 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 97th Percentile.
Brayan Bello has allowed a slugging percentage of .733 (22 Total Bases / 30 ABs) on fastballs away this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: .362 — third Percentile.
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Nick Nastrini has allowed at least one HR in each of his last three games dating back to May 22nd — Slade Cecconi has the longest active streak at 6.
Nick Nastrini has not allowed a hit in the first inning in any of his last three games dating back to May 22nd — Corbin Burnes has the longest active streak at 6.