The Boston Red Sox (+150) visit Hammond Stadium to take on the Minnesota Twins (-185) on Wednesday, March 6, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 1:05pm EST in Fort Myers, FL.
This season, the Red Sox are 4-4 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 4-4 ATS.
Red Sox vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Red Sox vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 59.8% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Hits Under in his last 2 games (+3.80 Units / 190% ROI)
- David Hamilton has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 3 away games (+3.10 Units / 74% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the RBIs Over in 2 of his last 3 games (+2.95 Units / 98% ROI)
- Masataka Yoshida has hit the RBIs Over in 1 of his last 2 games (+0.90 Units / 45% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Kyle Farmer has hit the RBIs Over in 3 of his last 4 games at home (+4.50 Units / 112% ROI)
- Alex Kirilloff has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- Michael A. Taylor has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Matt Wallner has hit the Singles Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 36% ROI)
- Ryan Jeffers has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 35% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 19 games (+10.60 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 37 of their last 66 away games (+7.03 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 34 of their last 61 away games (+5.05 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.95 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 away games (+1.53 Units / 24% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 50 games (+14.40 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 47 of their last 78 games (+13.95 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 48 of their last 77 games (+13.50 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games at home (+7.65 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 45 games at home (+2.85 Units / 4% ROI)
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Red Sox are 7-2 against the Run Line (+5 Units / 47.3% ROI).
- 4-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 2-7 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.63 Units / -57.27% ROI
- 7-2 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.8 Units / 48.14% ROI
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Twins are 4-4 against the Run Line (-0.65 Units / -6.99% ROI).
- 2-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.1 Units / -19.66% ROI
- 3-5 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.28 Units / -26.73% ROI
- 5-3 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.65 Units / 18.19% ROI
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Cooper Criswell has limited playing time.
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 33% (144/435) against Joe Ryan in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — sixth Percentile.
Joe Ryan had a strikeout rate of 29% (197/672) in the 2023 season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 91st Percentile.
Joe Ryan had a strike rate of 71% (884/1,249) vs left-handed batters in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 63% — 98th Percentile.
Joe Ryan elevated 46% of his pitches (661/1,434) against right-handed batters in the 2023 season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — 97th Percentile.