The Boston Red Sox (+120) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (-145) on Saturday, August 31, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:10pm EDT in Detroit, MI.

This season, the Red Sox are 70-65 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 72-64 ATS.

Red Sox vs Tigers Starting Pitchers Today:

• Red Sox starting pitcher: Nick Pivetta 5-9, 4.60 ERA
• Tigers starting pitcher: Tarik Skubal 15-4, 2.58 ERA

Red Sox vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Red Sox vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 54.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:

• Jarren Duran has hit the Home Runs Over in 10 of his last 37 games (+29.30 Units / 79% ROI)
• Romy Gonzalez has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 18 away games (+16.90 Units / 54% ROI)
• Wilyer Abreu has hit the RBIs Over in 17 of his last 33 games (+11.00 Units / 33% ROI)
• Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.00 Units / 37% ROI)
• Triston Casas has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 14 away games (+8.80 Units / 63% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Parker Meadows has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 22 games (+14.80 Units / 55% ROI)
• Parker Meadows has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 22 games (+14.75 Units / 42% ROI)
• Parker Meadows has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 22 games (+13.35 Units / 45% ROI)
• Kerry Carpenter has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 14 games (+12.30 Units / 88% ROI)
• Parker Meadows has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 22 games (+11.80 Units / 51% ROI)

Red Sox Best Bets Today:

• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 42 of their last 63 away games (+16.95 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 45 away games (+15.65 Units / 31% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 38 of their last 63 away games (+13.90 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 13 of their last 17 away games (+9.40 Units / 46% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 75 of their last 135 games (+7.60 Units / 5% ROI)

Tigers Best Bets Today:

• The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 34 of their last 49 games (+18.60 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 51 games (+12.65 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 9 games at home (+6.90 Units / 69% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 24 games (+5.95 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 18 games at home (+5.90 Units / 29% ROI)

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 62-73 against the Run Line (-18.75 Units / -10.54% ROI).

• 70-65 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.85 Units / -1.13% ROI
• 70-58 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.45 Units / 4.36% ROI
• 58-70 when betting on the total runs Under for -18.4 Units / -12.51% ROI

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 72-64 against the Run Line (+1.45 Units / 0.79% ROI).

• 68-68 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.5 Units / -0.32% ROI
• 68-60 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.05 Units / 1.4% ROI
• 60-68 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.85 Units / -10.13% ROI

Tigers vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today

Tigers vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Tigers vs Red Sox RBI Prop Bets Today

Tigers vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Nick Pivetta has allowed a slugging percentage of .719 (474 Total Bases / 659 ABs) in non-two strike counts since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 183 total IP; League Avg: .563 — first Percentile.

Nick Pivetta has struck out 32% (67/212) of left-handed batters he faced this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 53 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 97th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .126 (75-for-594) against Nick Pivetta with two-strikes since last season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 118 total IP; League Avg: .171 — 97th Percentile.

Nick Pivetta has allowed an OBP of just .176 (632 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 118 total IP; League Avg: .244 — 98th Percentile.

Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Tarik Skubal has allowed a slugging percentage of just .150 (21 Total Bases / 140 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .357 — 100th Percentile.

Tarik Skubal has 48 three-pitch strikeouts this season — most among pitchers in MLB — 100th Percentile.

Tarik Skubal has walked 2 of 112 batters (2%) with runners in scoring position this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 100th Percentile.

Tarik Skubal has a strikeout rate of 36% (40 SO in 112 PAs) with runners in scoring position this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

  
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