The Boston Red Sox (+125) visit Ewing M. Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (-155) on Wednesday, August 7, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Kansas City, MO.

This season, the Red Sox are 61-51 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 64-51 ATS.

Red Sox vs Royals Starting Pitchers Today:

• Red Sox starting pitcher: Kutter Crawford 7-8, 3.82 ERA
• Royals starting pitcher: Cole Ragans 8-7, 3.37 ERA

Red Sox vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Red Sox vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 54.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:

• Jarren Duran has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 21 away games (+26.30 Units / 125% ROI)
• Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Runs Over in 25 of his last 44 games (+16.75 Units / 37% ROI)
• Jarren Duran has hit the Hits Over in 28 of his last 46 games (+16.65 Units / 25% ROI)
• Rafael Devers has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 30 of his last 45 games (+12.55 Units / 23% ROI)
• Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Singles Over in 29 of his last 49 games (+11.85 Units / 23% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the RBIs Over in 24 of his last 36 games (+20.10 Units / 56% ROI)
• Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 7 games (+16.80 Units / 240% ROI)
• Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Singles Over in 25 of his last 35 games (+13.15 Units / 32% ROI)
• Kyle Isbel has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 22 games (+12.35 Units / 56% ROI)
• Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+11.50 Units / 34% ROI)

Red Sox Best Bets Today:

• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 44 of their last 69 games (+19.70 Units / 26% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 36 of their last 54 away games (+14.50 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 54 away games (+12.20 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 11 of their last 14 games (+8.55 Units / 53% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 63 of their last 112 games (+7.80 Units / 6% ROI)

Royals Best Bets Today:

• The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 58 games at home (+10.40 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 34 of their last 58 games at home (+9.29 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 30 of their last 58 games at home (+8.30 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Over in 24 of their last 39 games at home (+7.55 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 46 games (+6.80 Units / 13% ROI)

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 54-58 against the Run Line (-10.95 Units / -7.32% ROI).

• 61-51 when betting on the Moneyline for +4 Units / 2.9% ROI
• 58-49 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.55 Units / 3.69% ROI
• 49-58 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.45 Units / -11.72% ROI

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Royals are 64-51 against the Run Line (+4.64 Units / 3% ROI).

• 63-52 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.8 Units / 5.36% ROI
• 50-61 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.75 Units / -13.42% ROI
• 61-50 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.6 Units / 4.44% ROI

Royals vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today

Royals vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Royals vs Red Sox RBI Prop Bets Today

Royals vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Kutter Crawford has allowed an OPS of 1.584 (72 PA’s) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 1.022 — first Percentile.

Kutter Crawford has allowed a slugging percentage of 1.098 (67 Total Bases / 61 ABs) when behind in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .581 — first Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 31% (42/135) against Kutter Crawford in two-strike counts this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — fourth Percentile.

Opposing hitters have a groundball rate of just 20% (12/61) against Kutter Crawford when he’s behind in the count this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 40% — first Percentile.

Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .545 (12 GB hits out of 22 GBs) against Cole Ragans with runners in scoring position this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .234 — first Percentile.

Cole Ragans has a first-pitch strike rate of just 42% (20/48) in his last two starts — 2nd lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 63% — second Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 34% (321/937) against Cole Ragans this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 98th Percentile.

Cole Ragans walked 4 of 19 right-handed batters (21%) in his last start — 2nd highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 6% — third Percentile.

Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Royals

  
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