The Boston Red Sox (-145) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (+120) on Sunday, August 7, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Kansas City.

The Red Sox are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).

The Red Sox vs Royals Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Red Sox are 54-55 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 49-59 ATS.

Red Sox vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Red Sox vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Sunday‘s matchup with 74.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Red Sox and Royals and up-to-date player injuries.

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Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

• Alex Verdugo has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 31 away games (+12.25 Units / 35% ROI)
• Enrique Hernandez has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 24 away games (+10.90 Units / 22% ROI)
• Alex Verdugo has hit the Hits Over in 25 of his last 33 away games (+10.80 Units / 15% ROI)
• Rafael Devers has hit the Hits Over in 26 of his last 42 away games (+9.95 Units / 13% ROI)
• Alex Verdugo has hit the Runs Under in 23 of his last 31 games (+9.55 Units / 16% ROI)

Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

• Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the RBIs Under in 23 of his last 26 games (+17.20 Units / 30% ROI)
• Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Under in 32 of his last 61 games (+12.65 Units / 16% ROI)
• Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Runs Under in 26 of his last 35 games (+10.50 Units / 17% ROI)
• MJ Melendez has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+9.50 Units / 80% ROI)
• Hunter Dozier has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 17 games at home (+9.15 Units / 33% ROI)

Royals vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today

Royals vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Royals vs Red Sox RBI Prop Bets Today

Royals vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Positive Betting Trends for the Red Sox Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals

• The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 32 of their last 56 away games (+7.60 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 16 of their last 27 games (+6.35 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 30 of their last 52 away games (+5.80 Units / 8% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 44 of their last 80 games (+5.50 Units / 5% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 40 of their last 80 games (+5.45 Units / 6% ROI)

Positive Betting Trends for the Royals: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals

• The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 33 of their last 54 games (+15.90 Units / 26% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 18 of their last 35 games (+6.75 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 35 games (+6.65 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 47 games (+5.10 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 48 games (+5.10 Units / 10% ROI)

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Red Sox have gone 56-53 against the Run Line (+2.9 Units / 2.14% ROI).

• 54-55 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.9 Units / -5.1% ROI
• 48-52 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.3 Units / -6.92% ROI
• 52-48 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.3 Units / -0.25% ROI

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Red Sox have gone 49-59 against the Run Line (-20.7 Units / -14.57% ROI).

• 43-65 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.6 Units / -11.73% ROI
• 52-52 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.35 Units / -4.51% ROI
• 52-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.45 Units / -4.57% ROI

Kutter Crawford: Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 33% (50/150) against Kutter Crawford this season — 12th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 53 total IP; League Avg: 43% — seventh Percentile.

Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 17% (4/24) against Kutter Crawford against right-handed batters — 2nd best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 40% — 98th Percentile.

Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 23% (8/35) against Kutter Crawford — 5th best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 39% — 96th Percentile.

The average home run distance against Kutter Crawford this season is 410.0 feet — 7th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 53 total IP; League Avg: 398.0

Brad Keller: Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Right-handed batters are hitting .500 (16-for-32) against Brad Keller — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .257 — first Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 15% (22/150) against Brad Keller on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.

Right-handed batters batted .619 (13-for-21) against Brad Keller — highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .253 — first Percentile.

Brad Keller has a strikeout rate of just 16% (76 SO in 487 PAs) this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — fourth Percentile.

Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Royals

  
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