The Boston Red Sox (-145) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (+120) on Saturday, August 6, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Kansas City.
The Red Sox are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).
The Red Sox vs Royals Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Red Sox are 54-54 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 48-59 ATS.
Red Sox vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Red Sox vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Saturday‘s matchup with 77.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Red Sox and Royals and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Royals vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
| Hunter Dozier | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| MJ Melendez | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Michael A. Taylor | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Michael Massey | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
Royals vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 1.5 +160 | 1.5 -250 |
| Hunter Dozier | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +180 |
| MJ Melendez | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Michael A. Taylor | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +135 |
| Michael Massey | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +140 |
Royals vs Red Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -225 |
| Hunter Dozier | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -250 |
| MJ Melendez | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Michael A. Taylor | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -350 |
| Michael Massey | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -300 |
Royals vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Daniel Lynch | 4.5 -125 | 4.5 -110 |
| Nathan Eovaldi | 5.5 -105 | 5.5 -135 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Red Sox Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Positive Betting Trends for the Royals: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Red Sox have gone 56-52 against the Run Line (+3.9 Units / 2.9% ROI).
- 54-54 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.4 Units / -4.03% ROI
- 48-51 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.25 Units / -6.1% ROI
- 51-48 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.3 Units / -1.09% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Red Sox have gone 48-59 against the Run Line (-21.7 Units / -15.41% ROI).
- 42-65 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.9 Units / -12.96% ROI
- 52-51 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.3 Units / -3.65% ROI
- 51-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.45 Units / -5.46% ROI
Nathan Eovaldi: Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 10% (9/87) against Nathan Eovaldi this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 52 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Nathan Eovaldi has a strike rate of 69% (2,979/4,323) since the start of last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 133 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 99th Percentile.
Nathan Eovaldi has allowed a slugging percentage of .612 (63 Total Bases / 103 ABs) on breaking pitches this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 52 total IP; League Avg: .368 — first Percentile.
Nathan Eovaldi has a strike rate of 68% (1,305/1,930) vs left-handed batters since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 133 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 97th Percentile.
Daniel A. Lynch: Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of 35% (27/76) against Daniel Lynch on breaking pitches this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 52 total IP; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .500 (19-for-38) against Daniel Lynch on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 52 total IP; League Avg: .338 — first Percentile.
Daniel Lynch has not allowed a home run in any of the last 22.2 innings he’s appeared — Max Fried has the longest active streak at 60.0.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 35% (37/106) against Daniel Lynch with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 133 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 0 Percentile.