Red Sox vs Rockies Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul. 22
Red Sox vs Rockies Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul. 22

The Boston Red Sox (-175) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+145) on Monday, July 22, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:40pm EDT in Denver, CO.

This season, the Red Sox are 53-45 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 50-50 ATS.

Red Sox vs Rockies Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Red Sox starting pitcher: Tanner Houck 8-6, 2.53 ERA
  • Rockies starting pitcher: Austin Gomber 2-6, 4.67 ERA

Red Sox vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Red Sox vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Monday‘s MLB game with 62.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Rafael Devers has hit the Runs Over in 27 of his last 39 games (+16.65 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Rafael Devers has hit the Home Runs Over in 11 of his last 37 games (+11.95 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Jarren Duran has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+11.75 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Jarren Duran has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 25 of his last 38 games (+10.15 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Jarren Duran has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.70 Units / 55% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Brendan Rodgers has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 games at home (+14.10 Units / 235% ROI)
  • Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Total Bases Over in 27 of his last 43 games (+12.05 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Charlie Blackmon has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 30 games (+9.15 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Brendan Rodgers has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+9.00 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Brendan Rodgers has hit the RBIs Over in 7 of his last 10 games at home (+7.95 Units / 80% ROI)

  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 46 away games (+11.10 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 30 of their last 46 away games (+10.45 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 32 of their last 55 games (+9.90 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 17 away games (+7.00 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 55 of their last 98 games (+6.70 Units / 6% ROI)

  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 30 of their last 64 games (+9.55 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 12 games at home (+7.95 Units / 53% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 64 games (+7.65 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 9 games at home (+6.90 Units / 69% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 33 of their last 58 games (+4.80 Units / 7% ROI)

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 46-52 against the Run Line (-13.6 Units / -10.37% ROI).

  • 53-45 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.2 Units / 2.63% ROI
  • 46-47 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.25 Units / -4.87% ROI
  • 47-46 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.3 Units / -3.06% ROI

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 50-50 against the Run Line (-10.6 Units / -8.6% ROI).

  • 36-64 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.25 Units / -7.27% ROI
  • 50-48 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.7 Units / -2.48% ROI
  • 48-50 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.05 Units / -6.46% ROI

Rockies vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Tyler O'Neill (BOS) 0.5 +275 0.5 -350
Rafael Devers (BOS) 0.5 +310 0.5 -400
Connor Wong (BOS) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650
Romy Gonzalez (BOS) 0.5 +500 0.5 -750
Ceddanne Rafaela (BOS) 0.5 +575 0.5 -900

Rockies vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Charlie Blackmon (COL) 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Elias Diaz (COL) 0.5 -275 0.5 +210
Brenton Doyle (COL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Ryan McMahon (COL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Jamie Westbrook (BOS) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175

Rockies vs Red Sox RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Tyler O'Neill (BOS) 0.5 -105 0.5 -120
Rafael Devers (BOS) 0.5 +100 0.5 -130
Connor Wong (BOS) 0.5 +120 0.5 -155
Jarren Duran (BOS) 0.5 +120 0.5 -160
Ceddanne Rafaela (BOS) 0.5 +130 0.5 -175

Rockies vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Tanner Houck (BOS) 5.5 -125 5.5 -105
Austin Gomber (COL) 4.5 +105 4.5 -135

Tanner Houck has allowed an OPS of just .505 (254 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .702 — 98th Percentile.

Tanner Houck has allowed a slugging percentage of just .248 (58 Total Bases / 234 ABs) vs left-handed batters this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .401 — 97th Percentile.

Tanner Houck has allowed an OPS of just .445 (171 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .674 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 56% (184/330) against Tanner Houck this season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 94th Percentile.

Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Austin Gomber has allowed a slugging percentage of .682 (30 Total Bases / 44 ABs) on low fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .386 — second Percentile.

14 of Austin Gomber’s 40 breaking pitch strikeouts (35%) have been backdoor this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 14% — 97th Percentile.

Austin Gomber has allowed a slugging percentage of .623 (331 Total Bases / 531 ABs) on fastballs since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 168 total IP; League Avg: .436 — 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 16% (47/290) against Austin Gomber this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — second Percentile.

Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

  
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