The Boston Red Sox (-125) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (+105) on Saturday, June 22, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Cincinnati, OH.
This season, the Red Sox are 40-36 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 42-33 ATS.
Red Sox vs Reds Starting Pitchers Today:
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Nick Pivetta 4-4, 3.88 ERA
- Reds starting pitcher: Frankie Montas 3-5, 4.65 ERA
Red Sox vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Red Sox vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 53.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Rafael Devers has hit the Runs Over in 24 of his last 35 games (+14.85 Units / 39% ROI)
- David Hamilton has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 8 games (+12.60 Units / 158% ROI)
- Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 26 games (+11.15 Units / 43% ROI)
- Enmanuel Valdez has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 14 away games (+9.00 Units / 56% ROI)
- David Hamilton has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+9.00 Units / 45% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Hits Under in 27 of his last 42 games (+21.05 Units / 43% ROI)
- Jeimer Candelario has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 24 games (+20.60 Units / 86% ROI)
- Jeimer Candelario has hit the Total Bases Over in 25 of his last 37 games (+15.60 Units / 34% ROI)
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Singles Under in 23 of his last 31 games (+11.15 Units / 25% ROI)
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 21 games at home (+11.00 Units / 46% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 33 games (+7.95 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 35 away games (+7.50 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 23 of their last 37 games (+6.75 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 35 away games (+6.50 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 39 of their last 76 games (+6.15 Units / 6% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 37 of their last 59 games (+16.00 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 23 games at home (+12.50 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 24 of their last 35 games at home (+11.15 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 34 of their last 57 games (+9.50 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 25 games (+8.35 Units / 29% ROI)
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 36-40 against the Run Line (-10.2 Units / -9.89% ROI).
- 40-36 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.95 Units / 1.04% ROI
- 34-38 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.2 Units / -8.62% ROI
- 38-34 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.95 Units / 1.13% ROI
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 42-33 against the Run Line (+5.65 Units / 5.62% ROI).
- 36-39 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.9 Units / -3.33% ROI
- 31-41 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.65 Units / -17.69% ROI
- 41-31 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.65 Units / 8.07% ROI
Reds vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -450 |
Wilyer Abreu (BOS) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
Enmanuel Valdez (BOS) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
Jonathan India (CIN) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
Reds vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
TJ Friedl (CIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
Connor Wong (BOS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
Santiago Espinal (CIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Reds vs Red Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Tyler O'Neill (BOS) | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -130 |
Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
Jeimer Candelario (CIN) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
Connor Wong (BOS) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
Reds vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Nick Pivetta (BOS) | 6.5 +115 | 6.5 -150 |
Frankie Montas (CIN) | 5.5 +125 | 5.5 -165 |
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Nick Pivetta has allowed a slugging percentage of .770 (211 Total Bases / 274 ABs) in non-two strike counts since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 94 total IP; League Avg: .574 — 0 Percentile.
Nick Pivetta has allowed an OBP of just .179 (485 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 94 total IP; League Avg: .245 — 98th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .129 (15-for-116) against Nick Pivetta in late innings since the 2022 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 158 total IP; League Avg: .244 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .126 (57-for-454) against Nick Pivetta with two-strikes since last season — 7th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 94 total IP; League Avg: .172 — 95th Percentile.
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Frankie Montas has walked 15 of 111 batters (14%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 29 total IP; League Avg: 7% — third Percentile.
Frankie Montas has allowed a slugging percentage of .704 (19 Total Bases / 27 ABs) on low fastballs this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 29 total IP; League Avg: .391 — third Percentile.
Frankie Montas has walked 7 of 27 left-handed batters (26%) this month (3 games) — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 8% — second Percentile.
Frankie Montas has a strikeout rate of just 15% (17 SO in 111 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 12th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 29 total IP; League Avg: 24% — eighth Percentile.