The Boston Red Sox (-110) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (-110) on Friday, June 21, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Cincinnati, OH.

This season, the Red Sox are 40-35 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 41-33 ATS.

Red Sox vs Reds Starting Pitchers Today:

• Red Sox starting pitcher: Kutter Crawford 3-6, 3.56 ERA
• Reds starting pitcher: Andrew Abbott 5-6, 3.44 ERA

Red Sox vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Red Sox vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Friday‘s MLB game with 52.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:

• Rafael Devers has hit the Runs Over in 24 of his last 34 games (+15.85 Units / 43% ROI)
• David Hamilton has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 8 games (+12.60 Units / 158% ROI)
• Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+12.15 Units / 48% ROI)
• Rafael Devers has hit the Hits Over in 34 of his last 50 games (+11.75 Units / 12% ROI)
• David Hamilton has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+9.00 Units / 45% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Elly De La Cruz has hit the Hits Under in 26 of his last 41 games (+19.40 Units / 41% ROI)
• TJ Friedl has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 14 games (+18.70 Units / 134% ROI)
• Jeimer Candelario has hit the Total Bases Over in 24 of his last 36 games (+14.40 Units / 32% ROI)
• Elly De La Cruz has hit the Singles Under in 22 of his last 30 games (+10.15 Units / 23% ROI)
• Elly De La Cruz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+10.00 Units / 44% ROI)

Red Sox Best Bets Today:

• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 32 games (+9.10 Units / 26% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 34 away games (+8.60 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 23 of their last 36 games (+7.75 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 34 away games (+7.70 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 39 of their last 75 games (+7.50 Units / 8% ROI)

Reds Best Bets Today:

• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 36 of their last 58 games (+15.00 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 22 games at home (+13.85 Units / 54% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 24 of their last 34 games at home (+12.15 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 56 games (+8.50 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 24 games (+7.35 Units / 27% ROI)

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 36-39 against the Run Line (-9.2 Units / -9.01% ROI).

• 40-35 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.05 Units / 2.26% ROI
• 34-37 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.05 Units / -7.35% ROI
• 37-34 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.05 Units / -0.06% ROI

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Reds are 41-33 against the Run Line (+4.65 Units / 4.71% ROI).

• 35-39 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.9 Units / -4.54% ROI
• 31-40 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.5 Units / -16.53% ROI
• 40-31 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.65 Units / 6.95% ROI

Reds vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today

Reds vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Reds vs Red Sox RBI Prop Bets Today

Reds vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Kutter Crawford has allowed a slugging percentage of just .146 (6 Total Bases / 41 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .356 — 100th Percentile.

Kutter Crawford has a strike rate of 72% (186/259) this month (3 games) — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .175 (47-for-268) against Kutter Crawford’s fastball since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 93 total IP; League Avg: .266 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 34% (31/91) against Kutter Crawford in two-strike counts this season — 7th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — ninth Percentile.

Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Andrew Abbott has walked 14 of 126 batters (11%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — fourth Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 18% (18/100) against Andrew Abbott on sliders since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 93 total IP; League Avg: 41% — first Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 33% (61/185) against Andrew Abbott this season — tied for 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — fifth Percentile.

Andrew Abbott has walked 5 of 27 batters (18%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (3 games) — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.

Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Reds

  
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