The Boston Red Sox (+120) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-140) on Tuesday, May 21, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:50pm EDT in St. Petersburg, FL.

This season, the Red Sox are 24-24 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 23-26 ATS.

Red Sox vs Rays Starting Pitchers Today:

• Red Sox starting pitcher: Cooper Criswell 2-1, 2.80 ERA
• Rays starting pitcher: Zack Littell 2-2, 3.47 ERA

Red Sox vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Red Sox vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 52.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:

• Rafael Devers has hit the Home Runs Over in his last 6 games (+21.05 Units / 351% ROI)
• Jarren Duran has hit the Singles Under in 24 of his last 36 games (+12.60 Units / 33% ROI)
• Rafael Devers has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 24 games (+12.20 Units / 24% ROI)
• Dominic Smith has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+9.90 Units / 37% ROI)
• Vaughn Grissom has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+9.45 Units / 52% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Randy Arozarena has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 10 games at home (+19.00 Units / 190% ROI)
• Yandy Diaz has hit the Runs Under in 32 of his last 46 games (+15.35 Units / 26% ROI)
• Randy Arozarena has hit the Singles Under in 21 of his last 26 games (+13.40 Units / 34% ROI)
• Isaac Paredes has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 24 games (+11.35 Units / 32% ROI)
• Yandy Diaz has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 15 games at home (+9.15 Units / 56% ROI)

Red Sox Best Bets Today:

• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 35 games (+10.95 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 26 of their last 48 games (+8.70 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 9 games (+7.15 Units / 61% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 25 away games (+6.70 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 22 away games (+4.90 Units / 19% ROI)

Rays Best Bets Today:

• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 33 of their last 46 games (+19.95 Units / 37% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 17 games (+7.30 Units / 30% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 23 of their last 40 games (+4.10 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 17 games (+3.90 Units / 18% ROI)

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 22-26 against the Run Line (-8.3 Units / -12.61% ROI).

• 24-24 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.9 Units / -3.34% ROI
• 18-28 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.15 Units / -23.28% ROI
• 28-18 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.2 Units / 15.34% ROI

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rays are 23-26 against the Run Line (-3.25 Units / -5.11% ROI).

• 25-24 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.65 Units / -10.38% ROI
• 25-24 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.2 Units / -2.24% ROI
• 24-25 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.6 Units / -6.64% ROI

Rays vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today

Rays vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Rays vs Red Sox RBI Prop Bets Today

Rays vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 18% (36/200) against Cooper Criswell since last season — 4th lowest among in MLB; League Avg: 27% — fourth Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 20% (95/488) against Cooper Criswell since last season — tied for 9th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 28% — fifth Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 79% (27/34) against Cooper Criswell’s changeup this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 17 total IP; League Avg: 50% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .201 (28-for-139) against Cooper Criswell with two-strikes since last season — tied for 8th highest among in MLB; League Avg: .159 — 10th Percentile.

Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Zack Littell has walked 1 of 81 batters (1%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — best among in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 100th Percentile.

5 of Zack Littell’s 16 breaking pitch strikeouts (31%) have been backdoor this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 13% — 98th Percentile.

5 of Zack Littell’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches this season — tied for 3rd most among in MLB; League Avg: nan — 94th Percentile.

Zack Littell has walked 1 of 81 batters (1%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.

Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

  
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