The Boston Red Sox (+120) visit Estadio Quisqueya Juan Marichal to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-145) on Saturday, March 9, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 5:05pm EST in .
This season, the Red Sox are 4-6 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 4-6 ATS.
Red Sox vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Red Sox vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Saturday‘s matchup with 53.3% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Hits Under in his last 2 games (+3.80 Units / 190% ROI)
- David Hamilton has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 3 away games (+3.10 Units / 74% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the RBIs Over in 2 of his last 3 games (+2.95 Units / 98% ROI)
- Masataka Yoshida has hit the RBIs Over in 1 of his last 2 games (+0.90 Units / 45% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Rene Pinto has hit the Runs Under in his last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 36% ROI)
- Raimel Tapia has hit the Runs Over in his last 2 games (+3.95 Units / 198% ROI)
- Junior Caminero has hit the Singles Over in 5 of his last 7 games (+3.70 Units / 51% ROI)
- Curtis Mead has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- Jonathan Aranda has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 39% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 19 games (+10.60 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 37 of their last 66 away games (+7.03 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 34 of their last 61 away games (+5.05 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.95 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 away games (+1.53 Units / 24% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 50 of their last 80 games at home (+18.95 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 94 of their last 164 games (+14.09 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 44 games (+13.50 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 47 of their last 82 games at home (+8.36 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 99 of their last 164 games (+8.05 Units / 3% ROI)
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Red Sox are 7-4 against the Run Line (+2.9 Units / 22.89% ROI).
- 4-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.3 Units / -15.42% ROI
- 2-9 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.73 Units / -64.79% ROI
- 9-2 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.8 Units / 55.42% ROI
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Rays are 4-6 against the Run Line (-2.48 Units / -21.38% ROI).
- 3-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.18 Units / -17.48% ROI
- 5-5 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.58 Units / -5.26% ROI
- 5-5 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.65 Units / -5.9% ROI
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents batted just .164 (28-for-171) against Kutter Crawford’s fastball in the 2023 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .270 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents batted just .183 (47-for-257) against Kutter Crawford on the road in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .256 — 99th Percentile.
Opponents batted just .130 (13-for-100) against Kutter Crawford’s elevated fastballs in the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .229 — 98th Percentile.
Kutter Crawford threw his slider 47% of the time (199/419) when behind in the count in the 2023 season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total SL; League Avg: 21% — 98th Percentile.
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Yoniel Curet is making his MLB debut today.