The Boston Red Sox (+170) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-210) on Thursday, April 13, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10pm EDT in St. Petersburg.
The Rays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-105).
The Red Sox vs Rays Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
This season, the Red Sox are 5-7 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 11-1 ATS.
Red Sox vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Red Sox vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Thursday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Red Sox and Rays and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Triston Casas has hit the Singles Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 51% ROI)
- Enrique Hernandez has hit the Singles Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.40 Units / 50% ROI)
- Enrique Hernandez has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+7.70 Units / 96% ROI)
- Enrique Hernandez has hit the Total Bases Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+7.25 Units / 72% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the Singles Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.20 Units / 73% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Wander Franco has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 13 games at home (+10.80 Units / 40% ROI)
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.45 Units / 36% ROI)
- Wander Franco has hit the RBIs Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+8.50 Units / 106% ROI)
- Taylor Walls has hit the Runs Over in 5 of his last 6 games at home (+8.10 Units / 135% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Singles Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+7.35 Units / 72% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 3 of their last 4 games (+2.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 5 of their last 8 games (+1.80 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.40 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.80 Units / 14% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in their last 12 games (+12.00 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 12 games (+11.00 Units / 77% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 12 games (+10.05 Units / 71% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 12 games (+8.40 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 12 games (+8.10 Units / 48% ROI)
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Red Sox have gone 5-7 against the Run Line (-2.2 Units / -16% ROI).
- 5-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.75 Units / -23.73% ROI
- 8-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.6 Units / 27.69% ROI
- 4-8 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.15 Units / -38.15% ROI
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 11-1 against the Run Line (+11 Units / 77.19% ROI).
- 12-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +12 Units / 47.06% ROI
- 8-3 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.6 Units / 35.11% ROI
- 3-8 when betting on the total runs Under for -6 Units / -45.11% ROI
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Corey Kluber walked 21 of 689 batters (3%) in 2022 — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents batted .356 (47-for-132) against Corey Kluber with runners in scoring position in 2022 — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .238 — fourth Percentile.
Corey Kluber allowed a slugging percentage of .568 (75 Total Bases / 132 ABs) with runners in scoring position in 2022 — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .382 — fourth Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .382 (47-for-123) against Corey Kluber’s inside fastball since the 2021 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 133 total IP; League Avg: .258 — 0 Percentile.
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jeffrey Springs has allowed an OBP of just .159 (44 PA’s) this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .298 — 97th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .075 (3-for-40) against Jeffrey Springs this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .233 — 98th Percentile.
Jeffrey Springs has a strikeout rate of 42% (19 SO in 45 PAs) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.