The Boston Red Sox (+110) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-130) on Wednesday, April 12, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in St. Petersburg.
The Rays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).
The Red Sox vs Rays Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Red Sox are 5-6 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 10-1 ATS.
Red Sox vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Red Sox vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Red Sox and Rays and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Justin Turner has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 56% ROI)
- Enrique Hernandez has hit the Hits Under in his last 7 games (+8.70 Units / 124% ROI)
- Enrique Hernandez has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 7 games (+8.25 Units / 91% ROI)
- Justin Turner has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 8 games (+8.05 Units / 91% ROI)
- Triston Casas has hit the Singles Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 51% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Wander Franco has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 12 games at home (+9.80 Units / 41% ROI)
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.45 Units / 35% ROI)
- Luke Raley has hit the Singles Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 62% ROI)
- Jose Siri has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 6 games (+6.90 Units / 90% ROI)
- Brandon Lowe has hit the RBIs Over in his last 4 games (+6.75 Units / 169% ROI)
Rays vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Verdugo | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Connor Wong | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Francisco Mejia | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Rafael Devers | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -450 |
| Masataka Yoshida | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
Rays vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Verdugo | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Connor Wong | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
| Francisco Mejia | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Rafael Devers | 1.5 +200 | 1.5 -275 |
| Masataka Yoshida | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Rays vs Red Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Verdugo | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Connor Wong | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Francisco Mejia | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Rafael Devers | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Masataka Yoshida | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Rays vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Chris Sale | 5.5 +125 | 5.5 -160 |
| Bradley | 3.5 +110 | 3.5 -145 |
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.20 Units / 54% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in their last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 78% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.80 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.60 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 4 games (+2.30 Units / 55% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in their last 11 games (+11.00 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 11 games (+9.40 Units / 71% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 11 games (+9.00 Units / 68% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games (+7.40 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.80 Units / 43% ROI)
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Red Sox have gone 5-6 against the Run Line (-0.4 Units / -3.35% ROI).
- 5-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.75 Units / -18.58% ROI
- 7-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.6 Units / 21.67% ROI
- 4-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.95 Units / -32.11% ROI
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 10-1 against the Run Line (+9.4 Units / 70.94% ROI).
- 11-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +11 Units / 45.45% ROI
- 7-3 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.6 Units / 29.75% ROI
- 3-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.8 Units / -39.67% ROI
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Chris Sale has a strikeout rate of 60% (9 SO in 15 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 32% — 97th Percentile.
Chris Sale has walked 5 of 27 batters (18%) versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season — tied for 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 9% — fourth Percentile.
Chris Sale has a strikeout rate of 62% (13 SO in 21 PAs) with two-strikes this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have not chased any of 16 first pitches out of the zone against Chris Sale this season — tied for lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 15% — fourth Percentile.