The Boston Red Sox (+100) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-120) on Sunday, August 4, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:35pm EDT in Arlington, TX.

This season, the Red Sox are 58-51 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 49-62 ATS.

Red Sox vs Rangers Starting Pitchers Today:

• Red Sox starting pitcher: Nick Pivetta 5-7, 4.47 ERA
• Rangers starting pitcher: Nathan Eovaldi 8-4, 3.40 ERA

Red Sox vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Red Sox vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 52.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:

• Jarren Duran has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 18 away games (+22.70 Units / 126% ROI)
• Rafael Devers has hit the Runs Over in 31 of his last 49 games (+14.95 Units / 27% ROI)
• Jarren Duran has hit the Hits Over in 26 of his last 43 games (+14.75 Units / 24% ROI)
• Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Singles Over in 28 of his last 46 games (+13.15 Units / 27% ROI)
• Rafael Devers has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 28 of his last 42 games (+11.80 Units / 23% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Leody Taveras has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 games at home (+21.20 Units / 424% ROI)
• Wyatt Langford has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 19 games (+12.45 Units / 61% ROI)
• Wyatt Langford has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.30 Units / 46% ROI)
• Adolis Garcia has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.05 Units / 30% ROI)
• Nathan Eovaldi has hit the Walks Allowed Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+10.95 Units / 68% ROI)

Red Sox Best Bets Today:

• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 41 of their last 66 games (+16.70 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 33 of their last 51 away games (+11.35 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 51 away games (+9.00 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games (+7.55 Units / 61% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 56 of their last 109 games (+5.10 Units / 4% ROI)

Rangers Best Bets Today:

• The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 50 games at home (+16.85 Units / 31% ROI)
• The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 36 of their last 60 games (+10.15 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 49 games at home (+9.10 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 20 of their last 30 games at home (+8.00 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 18 of their last 30 games at home (+8.00 Units / 19% ROI)

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 51-58 against the Run Line (-13.95 Units / -9.69% ROI).

• 58-51 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.8 Units / 0.59% ROI
• 55-49 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.55 Units / 1.29% ROI
• 49-55 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.15 Units / -9.29% ROI

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 49-62 against the Run Line (-21.15 Units / -14.57% ROI).

• 53-58 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.8 Units / -9.77% ROI
• 48-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.7 Units / -12.84% ROI
• 58-48 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.45 Units / 4.47% ROI

Rangers vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today

Rangers vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Rangers vs Red Sox RBI Prop Bets Today

Rangers vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Nick Pivetta has allowed a slugging percentage of .774 (253 Total Bases / 327 ABs) in non-two strike counts since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 108 total IP; League Avg: .573 — 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of 33% (38/117) against Nick Pivetta with runners in scoring position since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 108 total IP; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.

Nick Pivetta has allowed a slugging percentage of .707 (444 Total Bases / 628 ABs) in non-two strike counts since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 173 total IP; League Avg: .563 — first Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 30% (73/239) against Nick Pivetta this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 43 total IP; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.

Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 90% (18/20) against Nathan Eovaldi in his last two starts — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 42% — 100th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 60% (101/167) against Nathan Eovaldi this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 98th Percentile.

Nathan Eovaldi has not walked a batter in his last 43.1 innings pitched — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.

Nathan Eovaldi has not allowed a walk in his last 93 PAs against a LHH dating back to June 15th — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.

Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

  
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