The Boston Red Sox (+110) visit BayCare Ballpark to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-130) on Sunday, March 19, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05pm EDT in Clearwater.
The Phillies are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).
The Red Sox vs Phillies Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
During Spring Training, the Red Sox are 10-5 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 6-9 ATS.
Red Sox vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Red Sox vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Sunday‘s Spring Training matchup with 65.8% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Red Sox and Phillies and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Triston Casas has hit the Runs Under in his last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 43% ROI)
- Christian Arroyo has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- Bobby Dalbec has hit the Singles Over in 2 of his last 3 games (+2.75 Units / 92% ROI)
- Alex Verdugo has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 41% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the RBIs Over in his last 2 games (+4.05 Units / 203% ROI)
- Rhys Hoskins has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.35 Units / 89% ROI)
- Nick Castellanos has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 65% ROI)
- Bryson Stott has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.50 Units / 125% ROI)
- Matt Vierling has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.50 Units / 31% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 68 of their last 133 games (+7.30 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 40 away games (+6.50 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 30 games (+6.45 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 22 of their last 38 games (+5.15 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games (+3.20 Units / 30% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 77 of their last 129 games (+16.15 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 26 of their last 39 games at home (+15.20 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 70 of their last 121 games (+14.08 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 26 of their last 39 games at home (+10.93 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 36 of their last 62 games at home (+10.35 Units / 14% ROI)
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Red Sox have gone 11-7 against the Run Line (+3.65 Units / 16.67% ROI).
- 10-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.7 Units / 25.22% ROI
- 8-9 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.85 Units / -9.37% ROI
- 9-8 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.25 Units / 1.26% ROI
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 6-9 against the Run Line (-4.25 Units / -22.37% ROI).
- 7-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.6 Units / -3.31% ROI
- 11-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.3 Units / 37.28% ROI
- 4-11 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.9 Units / -48.77% ROI
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Nick Pivetta walked 73 of 773 batters (9%) last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — fourth Percentile.
Zack Greinke had a strikeout rate of just 18% (9/50) with two-strikes over the last 30 days of the regular season (5 games) — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — first Percentile.
Zack Greinke struck out just 9% (21/241) of left-handed batters he faced last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 22% — first Percentile.
Nick Pivetta walked 24 of 219 batters (11%) versus the bottom of the order last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 5% — fourth Percentile.
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Luis Ortiz has allowed no extra-base hits in his last 9.0 innings pitched — J.P. Feyereisen has the longest active streak at 28.2.