The Boston Red Sox (+100) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-120) on Friday, September 9, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Baltimore.

The Red Sox are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).

The Red Sox vs Orioles Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Red Sox are 65-70 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 88-48 ATS.

Red Sox vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Red Sox vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Friday‘s matchup with 54.8% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Red Sox and Orioles and up-to-date player injuries.

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Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

• Rafael Devers has hit the Hits Under in 24 of his last 31 games (+19.20 Units / 32% ROI)
• Alex Verdugo has hit the Total Bases Over in 32 of his last 52 games (+18.10 Units / 33% ROI)
• Alex Verdugo has hit the Hits Over in 33 of his last 46 away games (+13.90 Units / 15% ROI)
• Tommy Pham has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 27 games (+13.55 Units / 26% ROI)
• Rafael Devers has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 16 away games (+11.60 Units / 52% ROI)

Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

• Anthony Santander has hit the Total Bases Over in 29 of his last 45 games at home (+16.55 Units / 31% ROI)
• Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Total Bases Under in 35 of his last 51 games (+11.45 Units / 14% ROI)
• Ryan McKenna has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 27 games (+10.40 Units / 38% ROI)
• Kyle Bradish has hit the Strikeouts Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+8.45 Units / 45% ROI)
• Rougned Odor has hit the Singles Under in his last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 44% ROI)

Orioles vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today

Orioles vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Orioles vs Red Sox RBI Prop Bets Today

Orioles vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Positive Betting Trends for the Red Sox Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals

• The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 34 of their last 56 games (+12.80 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 64 of their last 118 games (+7.50 Units / 6% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.80 Units / 49% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games (+2.00 Units / 26% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games (+1.95 Units / 19% ROI)

Positive Betting Trends for the Orioles: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals

• The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 45 of their last 75 games (+14.55 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 40 of their last 70 games (+10.20 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 37 of their last 77 games (+1.90 Units / 2% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.75 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 games (+1.35 Units / 11% ROI)

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Red Sox have gone 68-66 against the Run Line (-1.75 Units / -1.04% ROI).

• 65-70 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.85 Units / -7.15% ROI
• 61-64 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.55 Units / -5.76% ROI
• 64-61 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.6 Units / -1.74% ROI

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Red Sox have gone 88-48 against the Run Line (+30.35 Units / 16.82% ROI).

• 72-64 when betting on the Moneyline for +29.25 Units / 20.1% ROI
• 61-70 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.7 Units / -9.85% ROI
• 70-61 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.25 Units / 2.15% ROI

Brayan Bello: Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Brayan Bello has not allowed a home run in any of the last 32.0 innings he’s appeared — Zac Gallen has the longest active streak at 59.1.

Brayan Bello has not allowed a HR in any of his last six starts dating back to July 6th — George Kirby has the longest active streak at 10.

Brayan Bello has allowed no extra-base hits in his last 15.0 innings pitched — James Karinchak has the longest active streak at 25.2.

Brayan Bello had a first-pitch strike rate of 77% (17/22) — 8th highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 64% — 92nd Percentile.

Austin Voth: Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting .386 (39-for-101) against Austin Voth versus the bottom of the order this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 67 total IP; League Avg: .231 — 0 Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .215 (68-for-316) against Austin Voth with two-strikes since the start of last season — 2nd highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .157 — second Percentile.

Austin Voth has allowed an OPS of .868 (177 PA’s) versus the bottom of the order since the start of last season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .627 — first Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 30% (64/211) against Austin Voth since the start of last season — 2nd highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 23% — second Percentile.

Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

  
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