The Boston Red Sox (+155) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-190) on Wednesday, May 29, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:35pm EDT in Baltimore, MD.
This season, the Red Sox are 28-27 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 28-25 ATS.
Red Sox vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Kutter Crawford 2-3, 2.89 ERA
- Orioles starting pitcher: Corbin Burnes 4-2, 2.62 ERA
Red Sox vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Red Sox vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 59.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jarren Duran has hit the Singles Under in 29 of his last 43 games (+16.25 Units / 36% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 16 away games (+14.85 Units / 93% ROI)
- Dominic Smith has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 20 games (+14.40 Units / 36% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 31 games (+13.05 Units / 21% ROI)
- Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 10 of his last 14 away games (+7.20 Units / 43% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Home Runs Over in 9 of his last 20 games at home (+26.80 Units / 134% ROI)
- Jorge Mateo has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 24 games (+17.20 Units / 72% ROI)
- Ryan O’Hearn has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 17 games at home (+15.75 Units / 42% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the RBIs Over in 14 of his last 24 games at home (+14.80 Units / 62% ROI)
- Ryan O’Hearn has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 17 games at home (+12.60 Units / 62% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 42 games (+10.80 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 26 away games (+7.80 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 16 of their last 29 away games (+7.25 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 26 away games (+6.50 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 18 of their last 29 away games (+6.30 Units / 18% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 25 of their last 38 games (+10.70 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 20 games at home (+7.55 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 22 games at home (+7.20 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 44 games (+7.10 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+4.00 Units / 71% ROI)
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 25-30 against the Run Line (-9.75 Units / -12.97% ROI).
- 28-27 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.75 Units / -1.15% ROI
- 21-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.45 Units / -20.7% ROI
- 31-21 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.05 Units / 13.22% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 28-25 against the Run Line (+6.95 Units / 11.27% ROI).
- 34-19 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.35 Units / 8.21% ROI
- 27-19 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.35 Units / 11.12% ROI
- 19-27 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.8 Units / -18.83% ROI
Orioles vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Adley Rutschman (BAL) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -800 |
Orioles vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
Jordan Westburg (BAL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Adley Rutschman (BAL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
Jarren Duran (BOS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Orioles vs Red Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Jordan Westburg (BAL) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Orioles vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Kutter Crawford (BOS) | 4.5 -135 | 4.5 +100 |
Corbin Burnes (BAL) | 6.5 -125 | 6.5 -105 |
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 26% (17/66) against Kutter Crawford in two-strike counts this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 35% (62/178) against Kutter Crawford this season — tied for 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — fifth Percentile.
Kutter Crawford has allowed a slugging percentage of just .125 (4 Total Bases / 32 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .340 — 96th Percentile.
Kutter Crawford has allowed a slugging percentage of just .285 (69 Total Bases / 242 ABs) on fastballs since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 85 total IP; League Avg: .449 — 100th Percentile.
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Corbin Burnes has located his fastball inside 70% of the time (40/57) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes has located his fastball inside 66% of the time (364/555) since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes has located his fastballs down 65% of the time (208/319) since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 64% (50/78) against Corbin Burnes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — 100th Percentile.