The Boston Red Sox (+135) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-160) on Monday, May 27, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05pm EDT in Baltimore, MD.

This season, the Red Sox are 27-26 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 27-24 ATS.

Red Sox vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:

• Red Sox starting pitcher: Cooper Criswell 2-1, 2.89 ERA
• Orioles starting pitcher: Cole Irvin 4-2, 3.13 ERA

Red Sox vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Red Sox vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Monday‘s MLB game with 53.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:

• Rafael Devers has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 14 away games (+16.85 Units / 120% ROI)
• Jarren Duran has hit the Singles Under in 27 of his last 41 games (+13.85 Units / 32% ROI)
• Dominic Smith has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 18 games (+12.40 Units / 34% ROI)
• Rafael Devers has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 29 games (+11.05 Units / 19% ROI)
• Tyler O’Neill has hit the RBIs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+8.65 Units / 29% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Gunnar Henderson has hit the Home Runs Over in 9 of his last 18 games at home (+28.80 Units / 160% ROI)
• Gunnar Henderson has hit the RBIs Over in 14 of his last 22 games at home (+16.80 Units / 76% ROI)
• Jorge Mateo has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 22 games (+16.80 Units / 76% ROI)
• Ryan O’Hearn has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 15 games at home (+12.85 Units / 38% ROI)
• Ryan O’Hearn has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+10.60 Units / 60% ROI)

Red Sox Best Bets Today:

• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 40 games (+12.85 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 24 away games (+7.25 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 24 away games (+6.90 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 27 away games (+6.85 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 27 away games (+6.45 Units / 20% ROI)

Orioles Best Bets Today:

• The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 24 of their last 36 games (+11.00 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 18 games at home (+8.35 Units / 31% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 42 games (+6.85 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games at home (+5.20 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 29 of their last 51 games (+3.90 Units / 6% ROI)

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 24-29 against the Run Line (-9.3 Units / -12.85% ROI).

• 27-26 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.3 Units / -2.06% ROI
• 19-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.45 Units / -25% ROI
• 31-19 when betting on the total runs Under for +10.1 Units / 17.16% ROI

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 27-24 against the Run Line (+6.7 Units / 11.23% ROI).

• 33-18 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.1 Units / 9.59% ROI
• 25-19 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.35 Units / 7.95% ROI
• 19-25 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.75 Units / -15.82% ROI

Orioles vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today

Orioles vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Orioles vs Red Sox RBI Prop Bets Today

Orioles vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Cooper Criswell has struck out just 18% (25/138) of left-handed batters he faced since last season — 10th lowest among AL Relievers; League Avg: 25% — 12th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 20% (105/528) against Cooper Criswell since last season — 11th lowest among among 191 qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 28% — fifth Percentile.

Cooper Criswell has allowed an OPS of .626 (169 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — 5th highest among AL Relievers; League Avg: .489 — sixth Percentile.

Cooper Criswell has struck out just 18% (25/138) of left-handed batters he faced since last season — tied for 12th lowest among among 101 qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 25% — 12th Percentile.

Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a miss rate of just 7% (4/54) against Cole Irvin on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 20 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 0 Percentile.

Cole Irvin has allowed a slugging percentage of just .282 (53 Total Bases / 188 ABs) on inside fastballs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 149 total IP; League Avg: .429 — 99th Percentile.

Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 14% (17/120) against Cole Irvin this season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 20 total IP; League Avg: 24% — third Percentile.

Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 19% (28/145) against Cole Irvin on inside fastballs since the 2022 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 149 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.

Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

  
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