The Boston Red Sox (-115) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-105) on Saturday, August 20, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Baltimore.

The Red Sox are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).

The Red Sox vs Orioles Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Red Sox are 58-60 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 78-41 ATS.

Red Sox vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Red Sox vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Saturday‘s matchup with 73.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Red Sox and Orioles and up-to-date player injuries.

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Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

• Rafael Devers has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+14.05 Units / 43% ROI)
• J.D. Martinez has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 21 games (+13.95 Units / 45% ROI)
• Rafael Devers has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+13.30 Units / 38% ROI)
• Alex Verdugo has hit the Total Bases Over in 22 of his last 35 games (+13.15 Units / 35% ROI)
• Alex Verdugo has hit the Hits Over in 28 of his last 38 away games (+12.40 Units / 16% ROI)

Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

• Anthony Santander has hit the Singles Over in 31 of his last 49 games at home (+16.80 Units / 34% ROI)
• Anthony Santander has hit the Total Bases Over in 22 of his last 33 games at home (+13.95 Units / 36% ROI)
• Anthony Santander has hit the Hits Over in 36 of his last 47 games at home (+13.10 Units / 14% ROI)
• Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Total Bases Under in 25 of his last 33 games (+12.55 Units / 23% ROI)
• Jorge Mateo has hit the Total Bases Over in 23 of his last 31 games (+11.85 Units / 25% ROI)

Orioles vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today

Orioles vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Orioles vs Red Sox RBI Prop Bets Today

Orioles vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Positive Betting Trends for the Red Sox Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals

• The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 10 of their last 14 away games (+8.80 Units / 56% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 54 of their last 100 games (+6.35 Units / 6% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.60 Units / 10% ROI)

Positive Betting Trends for the Orioles: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals

• The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 68 of their last 99 games (+31.50 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 56 of their last 99 games (+28.70 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 35 of their last 57 games (+13.40 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 45 of their last 81 games (+9.65 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 52 of their last 96 games (+7.90 Units / 7% ROI)

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Red Sox have gone 60-58 against the Run Line (+0.65 Units / 0.44% ROI).

• 58-60 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.55 Units / -5.86% ROI
• 52-56 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.8 Units / -6.77% ROI
• 56-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.55 Units / -0.42% ROI

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Red Sox have gone 78-41 against the Run Line (+29.7 Units / 18.92% ROI).

• 62-57 when betting on the Moneyline for +24.5 Units / 19.52% ROI
• 56-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.35 Units / -4.88% ROI
• 58-56 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.55 Units / -2.68% ROI

Michael Wacha: Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting just .145 (11-for-76) against Michael Wacha on inside fastballs this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: .259 — 98th Percentile.

Opponents have a swing rate of 39% (330/837) against Michael Wacha on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 139 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a swing rate of 49% (1,057/2,137) against Michael Wacha in non-two strike counts since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 139 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents had a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 14% (2/14) against Michael Wacha — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 39% — 100th Percentile.

Kyle Bradish: Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Kyle Bradish has an ERA of 8.50 (36.0 IP) against division opponents this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: 3.88 — 0 Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .378 (37-for-98) against Kyle Bradish versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: .256 — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .422 (54-for-128) against Kyle Bradish in non-two strike counts this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: .328 — first Percentile.

Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 72% (18/25) against Kyle Bradish against right-handed batters — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 40% — first Percentile.

Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

  
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