Red Sox vs Orioles Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 25
Red Sox vs Orioles Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 25

The Boston Red Sox (+125) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-155) on Tuesday, April 25, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 6:35pm EDT in Baltimore.

The Orioles are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).

The Red Sox vs Orioles Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.

This season, the Red Sox are 12-12 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 12-10 ATS.

Red Sox vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Red Sox vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Red Sox and Orioles and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Rafael Devers has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+13.75 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Enrique Hernandez has hit the Singles Under in his last 11 away games (+11.00 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Rafael Devers has hit the RBIs Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+10.90 Units / 91% ROI)
  • Alex Verdugo has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 23 games (+8.95 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Justin Turner has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+8.60 Units / 54% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+8.05 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Cedric Mullins has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+7.05 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Austin Hays has hit the Singles Under in 9 of his last 12 games at home (+6.45 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.35 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Austin Hays has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 13 games (+6.35 Units / 28% ROI)

Orioles vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Ryan Mountcastle 0.5 +475 0.5 -1000
Alex Verdugo 0.5 +1000 0.5 -10000
Rafael Devers 0.5 +475 0.5 -1000
Masataka Yoshida 0.5 +825 0.5 -5000
Enrique Hernandez 0.5 +775 0.5 -3000

Orioles vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Ryan Mountcastle 1.5 +180 1.5 -250
Alex Verdugo 1.5 +200 1.5 -275
Rafael Devers 1.5 +195 1.5 -250
Masataka Yoshida 0.5 -210 0.5 +160
Enrique Hernandez 0.5 -200 0.5 +150

Orioles vs Red Sox RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Ryan Mountcastle 0.5 +130 0.5 -175
Alex Verdugo 0.5 +240 0.5 -350
Rafael Devers 0.5 +170 0.5 -225
Masataka Yoshida 0.5 +200 0.5 -275
Enrique Hernandez 0.5 +170 0.5 -225

Orioles vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Kyle Bradish 4.5 +105 4.5 -140
Corey Kluber 4.5 +115 4.5 -150

  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 24 games (+9.30 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 24 games (+9.20 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.65 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+5.50 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.80 Units / 32% ROI)

  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 19 games (+8.50 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.85 Units / 56% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 22 games (+2.45 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 games at home (+2.10 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+1.50 Units / 16% ROI)

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Red Sox have gone 13-11 against the Run Line (+2.05 Units / 6.86% ROI).

  • 12-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.95 Units / -3.33% ROI
  • 17-7 when betting on the total runs Over for +9.2 Units / 34.98% ROI
  • 7-17 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.1 Units / -45.32% ROI

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 12-10 against the Run Line (+0.45 Units / 1.58% ROI).

  • 15-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.55 Units / 25.29% ROI
  • 12-9 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.2 Units / 9% ROI
  • 9-12 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.85 Units / -15.94% ROI

Corey Kluber has an average fastball velocity of just 87.9 MPH this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 93.4 — first Percentile.

Corey Kluber has a strike rate of 70% (1,020/1,448) against right-handed batters since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 73 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 98th Percentile.

Corey Kluber has allowed at least one HR in each of his last six games dating back to October 2nd, 2022 — tied with Jose Urena for the longest active streak among active MLB players.

Corey Kluber walked 21 of 689 batters (3%) in 2022 — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 100th Percentile.

Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Kyle Bradish has an ERA of 7.21 (63.2 IP) against division opponents since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 73 total IP; League Avg: 3.91 — second Percentile.

Kyle Bradish has pitched 12.2 straight innings without allowing an earned run — Pete Fairbanks has the longest active streak at 29.1.

Opponents are hitting .406 (26-for-64) against Kyle Bradish on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 14th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 73 total IP; League Avg: .339 — ninth Percentile.

  
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