The Boston Red Sox (-120) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (+100) on Monday, April 24, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 6:35pm EDT in Baltimore.
The Red Sox are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+140).
The Red Sox vs Orioles Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
This season, the Red Sox are 12-11 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 11-10 ATS.
Red Sox vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Red Sox vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Red Sox and Orioles and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Rafael Devers has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 19 games (+12.75 Units / 57% ROI)
- Enrique Hernandez has hit the Singles Under in his last 10 away games (+10.00 Units / 61% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the RBIs Over in 8 of his last 11 games (+9.30 Units / 85% ROI)
- Alex Verdugo has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 22 games (+7.95 Units / 35% ROI)
- Enrique Hernandez has hit the Runs Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+7.85 Units / 131% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+9.05 Units / 44% ROI)
- Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 8 games (+8.25 Units / 76% ROI)
- Cedric Mullins has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.15 Units / 33% ROI)
- Cedric Mullins has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.05 Units / 38% ROI)
- Austin Hays has hit the Singles Under in 9 of his last 11 games at home (+7.45 Units / 64% ROI)
Orioles vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Ryan Mountcastle | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
Alex Verdugo | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -3000 |
Connor Wong | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
Rafael Devers | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
Masataka Yoshida | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
Orioles vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Ryan Mountcastle | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
Alex Verdugo | 1.5 +185 | 1.5 -250 |
Connor Wong | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Rafael Devers | 1.5 +185 | 1.5 -250 |
Masataka Yoshida | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Orioles vs Red Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Ryan Mountcastle | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Alex Verdugo | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
Connor Wong | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
Rafael Devers | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Masataka Yoshida | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Orioles vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Dean Kremer | 4.5 +110 | 4.5 -150 |
Chris Sale | 6.5 +110 | 6.5 -145 |
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 23 games (+10.30 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 23 games (+8.20 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.65 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+5.00 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.30 Units / 31% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.50 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in their last 5 games (+5.05 Units / 89% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.95 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.50 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 8 games (+0.50 Units / 6% ROI)
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Red Sox have gone 13-10 against the Run Line (+3.05 Units / 10.55% ROI).
- 12-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.25 Units / 0.92% ROI
- 16-7 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.2 Units / 32.41% ROI
- 7-16 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.9 Units / -42.75% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 11-10 against the Run Line (-0.55 Units / -2.04% ROI).
- 14-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.55 Units / 22.7% ROI
- 11-9 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.2 Units / 5.12% ROI
- 9-11 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.65 Units / -11.55% ROI
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 48% (25/52) against Chris Sale this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Chris Sale has allowed a slugging percentage of .000 (0 TB / 24 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: .322 — 100th Percentile.
Chris Sale has a strikeout rate of 47% (8 SO in 17 PAs) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — tied for 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 21% — 96th Percentile.
Chris Sale has a strikeout rate of 57% (16 SO in 28 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 32% — 100th Percentile.
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Dean Kremer has allowed a slugging percentage of .654 (17 Total Bases / 26 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: .322 — fourth Percentile.
Dean Kremer has a strikeout rate of just 32% (101 SO in 319 PAs) with two-strikes since last season — 9th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 72 total IP; League Avg: 42% — sixth Percentile.
Dean Kremer had a first-pitch strike rate of 88% (22/25) — highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 64% — 100th Percentile.