The Boston Red Sox (-120) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (+100) on Monday, April 24, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 6:35pm EDT in Baltimore.

The Red Sox are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+140).

The Red Sox vs Orioles Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

This season, the Red Sox are 12-11 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 11-10 ATS.

Red Sox vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Red Sox vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Red Sox and Orioles and up-to-date player injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:

• Rafael Devers has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 19 games (+12.75 Units / 57% ROI)
• Enrique Hernandez has hit the Singles Under in his last 10 away games (+10.00 Units / 61% ROI)
• Rafael Devers has hit the RBIs Over in 8 of his last 11 games (+9.30 Units / 85% ROI)
• Alex Verdugo has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 22 games (+7.95 Units / 35% ROI)
• Enrique Hernandez has hit the Runs Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+7.85 Units / 131% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+9.05 Units / 44% ROI)
• Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 8 games (+8.25 Units / 76% ROI)
• Cedric Mullins has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.15 Units / 33% ROI)
• Cedric Mullins has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.05 Units / 38% ROI)
• Austin Hays has hit the Singles Under in 9 of his last 11 games at home (+7.45 Units / 64% ROI)

Orioles vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today

Orioles vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Orioles vs Red Sox RBI Prop Bets Today

Orioles vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Red Sox Best Bets Today:

• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 23 games (+10.30 Units / 38% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 23 games (+8.20 Units / 32% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.65 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+5.00 Units / 48% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.30 Units / 31% ROI)

Orioles Best Bets Today:

• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.50 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in their last 5 games (+5.05 Units / 89% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.95 Units / 51% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.50 Units / 8% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 8 games (+0.50 Units / 6% ROI)

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Red Sox have gone 13-10 against the Run Line (+3.05 Units / 10.55% ROI).

• 12-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.25 Units / 0.92% ROI
• 16-7 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.2 Units / 32.41% ROI
• 7-16 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.9 Units / -42.75% ROI

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 11-10 against the Run Line (-0.55 Units / -2.04% ROI).

• 14-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.55 Units / 22.7% ROI
• 11-9 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.2 Units / 5.12% ROI
• 9-11 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.65 Units / -11.55% ROI

Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 48% (25/52) against Chris Sale this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.

Chris Sale has allowed a slugging percentage of .000 (0 TB / 24 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: .322 — 100th Percentile.

Chris Sale has a strikeout rate of 47% (8 SO in 17 PAs) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — tied for 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 21% — 96th Percentile.

Chris Sale has a strikeout rate of 57% (16 SO in 28 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 32% — 100th Percentile.

Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Dean Kremer has allowed a slugging percentage of .654 (17 Total Bases / 26 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: .322 — fourth Percentile.

Dean Kremer has a strikeout rate of just 32% (101 SO in 319 PAs) with two-strikes since last season — 9th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 72 total IP; League Avg: 42% — sixth Percentile.

Dean Kremer had a first-pitch strike rate of 88% (22/25) — highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 64% — 100th Percentile.

  
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