The Boston Red Sox (-175) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (+145) on Tuesday, July 2, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Miami, FL.

This season, the Red Sox are 44-39 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 37-47 ATS.

Red Sox vs Marlins Starting Pitchers Today:

• Red Sox starting pitcher: Kutter Crawford 3-7, 3.61 ERA
• Marlins starting pitcher: Valente Bellozo 0-0, 0.00 ERA

Red Sox vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Red Sox vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 62.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:

• Rafael Devers has hit the Runs Over in 27 of his last 39 games (+16.65 Units / 39% ROI)
• Rafael Devers has hit the Home Runs Over in 11 of his last 37 games (+11.95 Units / 32% ROI)
• Jarren Duran has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+11.75 Units / 53% ROI)
• Jarren Duran has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 25 of his last 38 games (+10.15 Units / 22% ROI)
• Jarren Duran has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.70 Units / 55% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Bryan De La Cruz has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 11 games at home (+22.20 Units / 202% ROI)
• Josh Bell has hit the Runs Under in 39 of his last 50 games (+18.20 Units / 20% ROI)
• Jazz Chisholm has hit the Singles Over in 23 of his last 38 games (+10.65 Units / 27% ROI)
• Josh Bell has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+9.85 Units / 20% ROI)
• Josh Bell has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 24 games at home (+9.55 Units / 30% ROI)

Red Sox Best Bets Today:

• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 40 games (+10.80 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 37 away games (+9.85 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 23 of their last 37 away games (+6.20 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.80 Units / 38% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 42 of their last 83 games (+3.35 Units / 3% ROI)

Marlins Best Bets Today:

• The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 43 games at home (+14.80 Units / 31% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 41 of their last 66 games (+13.55 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 48 of their last 79 games (+11.90 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+6.50 Units / 54% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.90 Units / 32% ROI)

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 38-45 against the Run Line (-12.5 Units / -11.31% ROI).

• 44-39 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 0.99% ROI
• 39-40 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.35 Units / -4.78% ROI
• 40-39 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.75 Units / -3% ROI

Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 37-47 against the Run Line (-24.36 Units / -21.59% ROI).

• 30-54 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.9 Units / -18.93% ROI
• 43-40 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.35 Units / -0.38% ROI
• 40-43 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.6 Units / -7.15% ROI

Marlins vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today

Marlins vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Marlins vs Red Sox RBI Prop Bets Today

Marlins vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 34% (31/92) against Kutter Crawford in two-strike counts this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — fifth Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .182 (50-for-274) against Kutter Crawford’s fastball since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 97 total IP; League Avg: .266 — 100th Percentile.

Kutter Crawford has a strike rate of 68% (304/447) in two strike counts this season — 10th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 85th Percentile.

Kutter Crawford has allowed at least one HR in each of his last seven games dating back to May 18th — Zack Littell has the longest active streak at 8.

Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Valente Bellozo allowed an OPS of just .343 (18 PA’s) — 11th best in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .715 — 92nd Percentile.

Valente Bellozo has allowed a slugging percentage of just .176 (3 Total Bases / 17 ABs) over the past seven days (1 games) — 8th best among NL Starters over the last week; League Avg: .390 — 88th Percentile.

Opponents batted just .118 (2-for-17) against Valente Bellozo — tied for 15th best in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .241 — 88th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .118 (2-for-17) against Valente Bellozo over the past seven days (1 games) — tied for 9th best among NL Starters over the last week; League Avg: .239 — 86th Percentile.

Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins

  
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