![Red Sox vs. Dodgers Prediction, Picks & Player Props Today: Will Pivetta Cool Off After Long Layoff? Red Sox vs. Dodgers Prediction, Picks & Player Props Today: Will Pivetta Cool Off After Long Layoff?](https://img.sportsbookreview.com/uploads/f8419c67-ec75-4c14-a002-5664a3f3eb81.jpg?fm=webp&auto=format&auto=compress&h=480&w=720&fit=crop&crop=faces,top,left)
The Boston Red Sox and Los Angeles Dodgers begin an interleague series in their first game post-All-Star break, and we have you covered with our best Red Sox vs. Dodgers player props based on the best sports betting sites.
The Red Sox are just 4.5 games out of first place in the AL East, as their 10-3 record since June 30 is the best in baseball. They face a Dodgers team that has gone the opposite way, losing nine of their last 13 games to end the first half, as only the Miami Marlins and Chicago White Sox had worse records in the majors in that span.
However, oddsmakers believe that the All-Star break did Los Angeles some good. It is a -140 moneyline favorite at Betway. First pitch from Dodger Stadium is scheduled for 10:10 p.m. ET on Friday.
Red Sox vs. Dodgers player props
MLB odds via our best MLB betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1- to-5-star scale.
- Nick Pivetta Under 6.5 strikeouts (-160 via Betway) ????
- Gavin Stone Under 16.5 outs (-105 via Betway) ???
- Shohei Ohtani Over 1.5 total bases (+100 via Betway) ????
Red Sox vs. Dodgers expert picks
Red Sox righty Pivetta shined in his last start before the All-Star Break, tying a season-high with 10 strikeouts. Pivetta has elite swing-and-miss stuff, fanning nine or more batters in four of his previous eight starts.
However, his 4.17 ERA over the 45 ? innings in that stretch is a concern, especially when facing a Dodgers lineup that strikes out at the fifth-lowest rate in the National League (21.1%).
In addition, this is a four-star play since Pivetta has historically been poor on extended rest (his last start was on July 10), as his .381 winning percentage, 5 .21 ERA, 1.428 WHIP, and 9.4 K/9 rate in 31 starts on six-plus days' rest are all worse than when he pitches on four and five days' rest.
Best odds: -160 via Betway | Implied probability: 61.54%
Dodgers righty Stone may be hitting the “rookie wall” after 17 starts (21 for his career), as he has allowed four earned runs in back-to-back starts while raising his ERA from 2.73 to 3.26. Stone has also recorded 16 or fewer outs in three of his previous four starts, as he mixed in a complete game shutout of the lowly Chicago White Sox.
However, the Red Sox rank second among all AL teams in wRC+ and OPS (.833) in July road games, which should make for a shorter outing for Stone, especially since the team is likely to be more cautious with his innings going forward prior to the playoffs.
Stone has hit this Under in seven of his 17 starts, but we agree w ith the 51.22% implied probability given the circumstances (a $10 winning wager would pay $19.52), especially since the rookie should be rusty after not having pitched for nine days.
Best odds: -105 via Betway | Implied probability: 51.22%
Ohtani's 29 home runs and 1.036 OPS rank second in the majors, and his 69 RBIs are sixth despite him perpetually batting in front of players like Freddie Freeman and Will Smith. In addition, his 235 total bases and 56 extra-base hits rank first in franchise history before the All-Star Break, while his 29 home runs rank second.
Ohtani stole the show at the All-Star Game, becoming the first player to hit a home run and earn a pitcher win at the event. He is also one of four players in the majors with 10-plus home runs over the last 30 days and slashed .333/.391/.619 over the five games before the All-Star break.
We expect hi m to stay hot against the righty Pivetta, as he is tied with Rafael Devers for the highest ISO (.384) and slugging percentage (.709) against right-handed pitching this season.
It is not often that one can find plus-money odds on anything involving Ohtani, but we are excited to back this Over, given the 50/50 implied probability.
Best odds: +100 via Betway | Implied probability: 50.00%
Red Sox vs. Dodgers odds & game info
- When: Friday, July 19
- First pitch: 10:10 p.m. ET
- Where: Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles
- How to watch: MLBN
- Favorite: Dodgers (-140 via Betway)
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