The Boston Red Sox (+) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (+) on Saturday, July 20, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in Los Angeles, CA.

This season, the Red Sox are 53-43 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 48-50 ATS.

Red Sox vs Dodgers Starting Pitchers Today:

• Red Sox starting pitcher: Brayan Bello 10-5, 5.36 ERA
• Dodgers starting pitcher: Justin Wrobleski 0-1, 6.52 ERA

Red Sox vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Red Sox vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 53.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:

• Rafael Devers has hit the Runs Over in 27 of his last 39 games (+16.65 Units / 39% ROI)
• Rafael Devers has hit the Home Runs Over in 11 of his last 37 games (+11.95 Units / 32% ROI)
• Jarren Duran has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+11.75 Units / 53% ROI)
• Jarren Duran has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 25 of his last 38 games (+10.15 Units / 22% ROI)
• Jarren Duran has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.70 Units / 55% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Freddie Freeman has hit the Walks Under in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+14.05 Units / 33% ROI)
• Shohei Ohtani has hit the Home Runs Over in 9 of his last 15 games (+13.75 Units / 92% ROI)
• Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+12.45 Units / 79% ROI)
• Teoscar Hernandez has hit the RBIs Under in 16 of his last 18 games at home (+12.40 Units / 37% ROI)
• Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 26 of his last 39 games (+12.10 Units / 28% ROI)

Red Sox Best Bets Today:

• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 44 away games (+13.15 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 28 of their last 44 away games (+8.45 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 53 games (+7.90 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 54 of their last 96 games (+6.70 Units / 6% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 50 of their last 96 games (+6.25 Units / 5% ROI)

Dodgers Best Bets Today:

• The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 39 games at home (+12.25 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 46 games at home (+5.35 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 23 games (+2.30 Units / 8% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+1.60 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 47 games at home (+0.55 Units / 1% ROI)

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 45-51 against the Run Line (-12.55 Units / -9.85% ROI).

• 53-43 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.25 Units / 4.39% ROI
• 44-47 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.25 Units / -6.87% ROI
• 47-44 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.2 Units / -1.13% ROI

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 48-50 against the Run Line (-8.45 Units / -7.14% ROI).

• 57-41 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.05 Units / -7.84% ROI
• 49-48 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.8 Units / -3.53% ROI
• 48-49 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.8 Units / -5.36% ROI

Dodgers vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today

Dodgers vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Dodgers vs Red Sox RBI Prop Bets Today

Dodgers vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting .437 (94-for-215) against Brayan Bello when he’s behind in the count since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 167 total IP; League Avg: .338 — first Percentile.

Brayan Bello has not walked any of the 37 batters that he has faced vs left-handed batters this month (3 games) — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of 38% (22/58) against Brayan Bello on sliders this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 38 total IP; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 60% (165/274) against Brayan Bello in two-strike counts since last season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 102 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 97th Percentile.

Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a chase percentage of just 22% (6/27) against Justin Wrobleski with two-strikes in his last two starts — 2nd lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 40% — second Percentile.

Justin Wrobleski has allowed a slugging percentage of 1.000 (15 Total Bases / 15 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (2 games) — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: .448 — first Percentile.

Opponents had a groundball rate of just 18% (3/17) against Justin Wrobleski in his last start — lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.

Hitters have swung at 51% of Justin Wrobleski’s pitches (26/51) with two-strikes in his last two starts — 5th lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 61% — sixth Percentile.

Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers

  
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