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Expectations were sky-high for one of these teams when the season got underway, while the other appeared to be a World Series odds dark horse around the trade deadline. Now they're the two worst teams in the AL East. Woof.
Our Red Sox vs. Blue Jays prediction features two teams just trying to cross the finish line of this never-ending MLB season.
They'll send two talented righties to the hill when first pitch is thrown at 7:07 p.m. ET from Rogers Centre, and we're targeting one of them with our player prop bet on Monday.
Can Boston finish the season with a .500 record, or will the Blue Jays play spoilers and drag the Red Sox down into the gutter with them?
Red Sox vs. Blue Jays predictions
- Red Sox moneyline (+110 via Betway)
- Tanner Houck Over 4.5 strikeouts (+130 via Betway)
MLB odds via our best MLB betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale.
Who will win Red Sox vs. Blue Jays?
First pitch: 7:07 p.m. ET, Rogers Centre
Best odds: +110 via Betway | Implied probability: 47.62%
As a Red Sox fan, I always expected to be here: fighting to finish the season with a .500 record, likely falling short.
But Blue Jays fans, how did we get here? From nearly landing MLB MVP odds mega favorite Shohei Ohtani to still remaining among the World Series contenders before the campaign began to … this.
Attendance at the Rogers Centre is down roughly 4,000 fans per game this season compared to last, and it'd be a surprise to see even 30,000 fans pack the dome on Monday night.
That should provide Tanner Houck and the Red Sox with at least a slightly more favorable situation, which they'll need after playing two games on Sunday.
However, Boston won both of those contests against the Minnesota Twins, and I think that'll work in its favor on Monday.
The best thing a bad team can have is a sense of rhythm, and after striking out a shocking 20 times on Friday night, those two victories on Sunday did a lot to help the Red Sox somewhat right the ship.
I think Boston will carry that momentum into Monday, and these +110 odds provide us with great value.
It's not a huge edge, but the implied probability for a Red Sox win should be closer to 50% (+100).
See the rest of our MLB picks.
Red Sox vs. Blue Jays prop bet
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Houck was once among the contenders by the MLB Cy Young odds for much of the early portion of the season, but he's had a brutal second half.
The right-hander managed a 2.54 ERA and 8.62 strikeouts per nine innings across 117 first-half innings. Those numbers have cratered to a 4.61 ERA and 6.67 K/9 across 56 2/3 second-half innings. That's a microcosm of Boston's season as a whole.
However, Houck has a good chance to finish the campaign strong on Monday.
He's projected to record 4.82 strikeouts against the Blue Jays. Though that's not quite close enough to the five he needs to clear this total as you'd hope, the +130 odds we're getting provide great value.
In fact, this bet shows nearly 20% positive expected value based on that projection and this price. These are also the best odds across any of our best sports betting site s.
Best odds: +130 via Betway | Implied probability: 43.48%
Red Sox vs. Blue Jays odds & game info
- When: Monday, Sept. 23
- First pitch: 7:07 p.m. ET
- Where: Rogers Centre, Toronto
- How to watch: NESN, Sportsnet
- Favorite: Blue Jays (-120 via Betway)
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