The Boston Red Sox (+105) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-125) on Tuesday, September 24, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07pm EDT in Toronto, ON.

This season, the Red Sox are 79-78 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 77-80 ATS.

Red Sox vs Blue Jays Starting Pitchers Today:

• Red Sox starting pitcher: Brayan Bello 14-8, 4.54 ERA
• Blue Jays starting pitcher: Bowden Francis 8-5, 3.46 ERA

Red Sox vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Red Sox vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:

• Triston Casas has hit the Home Runs Over in 10 of his last 46 games (+17.90 Units / 39% ROI)
• Romy Gonzalez has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 23 away games (+13.35 Units / 32% ROI)
• Tyler O’Neill has hit the Singles Under in his last 13 games (+13.00 Units / 55% ROI)
• Tyler O’Neill has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 24 games (+11.90 Units / 42% ROI)
• Jarren Duran has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.05 Units / 32% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Addison Barger has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games at home (+15.90 Units / 177% ROI)
• Davis Schneider has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 26 games (+11.85 Units / 36% ROI)
• Davis Schneider has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 28 games (+11.10 Units / 37% ROI)
• Ernie Clement has hit the RBIs Under in his last 10 games at home (+10.00 Units / 41% ROI)
• Davis Schneider has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 28 games (+9.50 Units / 33% ROI)

Red Sox Best Bets Today:

• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 58 away games (+8.80 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 45 of their last 76 away games (+7.55 Units / 8% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 41 of their last 76 away games (+6.95 Units / 8% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 13 away games (+5.70 Units / 41% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.80 Units / 21% ROI)

Blue Jays Best Bets Today:

• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 34 of their last 53 games at home (+15.65 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 24 of their last 36 games (+10.80 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 54 games (+5.60 Units / 8% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games (+4.15 Units / 49% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 26 of their last 46 games (+3.95 Units / 7% ROI)

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 74-83 against the Run Line (-18.75 Units / -9% ROI).

• 79-78 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.7 Units / -4% ROI
• 77-72 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.9 Units / -1.11% ROI
• 72-77 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.15 Units / -7.09% ROI

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 77-80 against the Run Line (-17.35 Units / -8.14% ROI).

• 73-84 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.25 Units / -9.59% ROI
• 78-74 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.25 Units / -1.9% ROI
• 74-78 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.2 Units / -7.08% ROI

Blue Jays vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today

Blue Jays vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Blue Jays vs Red Sox RBI Prop Bets Today

Blue Jays vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Brayan Bello has a strike rate of just 61% (466/763) in two strike counts this season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — ninth Percentile.

Brayan Bello has not allowed a home run in any of the last 35.0 innings he’s appeared — Cionel Perez has the longest active streak at 86.2.

Brayan Bello has allowed an OBP of .356 (261 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .289 — fifth Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .274 (63-for-230) against Brayan Bello when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for 8th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .231 — 16th Percentile.

Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 6% (1/16) against Bowden Francis in his last two starts — lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 40% — first Percentile.

Bowden Francis has allowed a BABIP of .211 this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 62 total IP; League Avg: .289 — 100th Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 16% (4/25) against Bowden Francis this month (3 games) — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 41% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 20% (8/41) against Bowden Francis in his last two starts — lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 42% — first Percentile.

Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

  
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