The Boston Red Sox (+120) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-145) on Sunday, September 17, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:37pm EDT in Toronto.
The Blue Jays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).
The Red Sox vs Blue Jays Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Red Sox are 74-75 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 68-81 ATS.
Red Sox vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Red Sox vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 60.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Red Sox and Blue Jays and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Pablo Reyes has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 9 away games (+11.10 Units / 123% ROI)
- Brayan Bello has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+9.85 Units / 45% ROI)
- Rob Refsnyder has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+7.10 Units / 23% ROI)
- Alex Verdugo has hit the Singles Under in 10 of his last 14 games (+6.85 Units / 48% ROI)
- Tanner Houck has hit the Earned Runs Over in 12 of his last 18 games (+6.50 Units / 33% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Davis Schneider has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 23 games (+12.60 Units / 35% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+12.45 Units / 43% ROI)
- Davis Schneider has hit the Runs Over in 17 of his last 26 games (+12.05 Units / 43% ROI)
- Davis Schneider has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+10.05 Units / 45% ROI)
- George Springer has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+9.95 Units / 25% ROI)
Blue Jays vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ceddanne Rafaela | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Davis Schneider | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Rafael Devers | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
Blue Jays vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ceddanne Rafaela | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Davis Schneider | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
| Rafael Devers | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 -130 | 0.5 +100 |
Blue Jays vs Red Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ceddanne Rafaela | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Davis Schneider | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Rafael Devers | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
Blue Jays vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Hyun-Jin Ryu | 4.5 +120 | 4.5 -155 |
| Nick Pivetta | 6.5 +100 | 6.5 -135 |
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- team high – away
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- team high – home
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Red Sox have gone 74-75 against the Run Line (-12.05 Units / -6.14% ROI).
- 74-75 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.95 Units / -4.82% ROI
- 78-65 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.4 Units / 3.9% ROI
- 65-78 when betting on the total runs Under for -21.35 Units / -13% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 68-81 against the Run Line (-15.15 Units / -8.27% ROI).
- 82-67 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.45 Units / -5.66% ROI
- 64-79 when betting on the total runs Over for -21.8 Units / -13.4% ROI
- 79-64 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.3 Units / 5.02% ROI
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Nick Pivetta has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 85.4 MPH on pitches out of the zone since last season (148 balls in play) — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 123 total IP; League Avg: 80.6
Nick Pivetta has allowed a slugging percentage of .827 (139 Total Bases / 168 ABs) in non-two strike counts this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: .589 — 0 Percentile.
Nick Pivetta has allowed a slugging percentage of .704 (330 Total Bases / 469 ABs) in non-two strike counts since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 123 total IP; League Avg: .562 — second Percentile.
Hitters have chased 174 of Nick Pivetta’s 496 fastballs out of the zone (35%) this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 98th Percentile.
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hyun Jin Ryu has allowed at least one HR in each of his last four games dating back to August 26th — Kenta Maeda has the longest active streak at 11.
Hyun Jin Ryu has not allowed a hit in the first inning in any of his last three games dating back to September 1st — the longest active streak is 5.
Hyun Jin Ryu has allowed three-ball counts to 2% of batters they faced (18/771 PA’s) against right-handed batters since the 2021 season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 188 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 98th Percentile.