The Boston Red Sox (-115) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-105) on Tuesday, June 18, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07pm EDT in Toronto, ON.
This season, the Red Sox are 38-35 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 32-40 ATS.
Red Sox vs Blue Jays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Tanner Houck 7-5, 2.07 ERA
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Chris Bassitt 6-6, 3.55 ERA
Red Sox vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Red Sox vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 56.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Rafael Devers has hit the Runs Over in 23 of his last 32 games (+15.80 Units / 45% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 20 away games (+13.85 Units / 69% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the Hits Over in 33 of his last 48 games (+12.80 Units / 13% ROI)
- Connor Wong has hit the Singles Over in his last 10 games (+11.20 Units / 107% ROI)
- Rob Refsnyder has hit the Total Bases Over in 10 of his last 12 away games (+8.55 Units / 53% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Isiah Kiner-Falefa has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 17 games at home (+13.95 Units / 39% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Singles Over in 30 of his last 43 games (+13.65 Units / 25% ROI)
- Isiah Kiner-Falefa has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+11.60 Units / 23% ROI)
- George Springer has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+11.45 Units / 41% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the RBIs Under in 37 of his last 50 games (+10.75 Units / 10% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 30 games (+9.20 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 22 of their last 34 games (+8.15 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 38 of their last 73 games (+7.70 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 32 away games (+6.40 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 32 away games (+5.70 Units / 15% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 42 of their last 71 games (+10.80 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 38 of their last 67 games (+7.90 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 18 games (+4.65 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 33 of their last 58 games (+4.65 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.85 Units / 18% ROI)
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 35-38 against the Run Line (-9.2 Units / -9.26% ROI).
- 38-35 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.15 Units / -0.17% ROI
- 33-36 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.95 Units / -7.42% ROI
- 36-33 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.05 Units / 0.06% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 32-40 against the Run Line (-13.45 Units / -14.36% ROI).
- 35-37 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.1 Units / -9.46% ROI
- 31-39 when betting on the total runs Over for -12 Units / -15.21% ROI
- 39-31 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.5 Units / 5.66% ROI
Blue Jays vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Tyler O'Neill (BOS) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Davis Schneider (TOR) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
| Enmanuel Valdez (BOS) | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -1000 |
Blue Jays vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| George Springer (TOR) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Rob Refsnyder (BOS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Davis Schneider (TOR) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Masataka Yoshida (BOS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Blue Jays vs Red Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Tyler O'Neill (BOS) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Bo Bichette (TOR) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| George Springer (TOR) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Blue Jays vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tanner Houck (BOS) | 4.5 -145 | 4.5 +110 |
| Chris Bassitt (TOR) | 5.5 -130 | 5.5 +100 |
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
10 of Tanner Houck’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor this season — tied for 2nd most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 98th Percentile.
Tanner Houck has allowed an OPS of just .486 (202 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .689 — 97th Percentile.
Tanner Houck has a strike rate of 73% (274/377) in two strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.
Tanner Houck has allowed an OPS of just .299 (191 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .480 — 98th Percentile.