The Boston Red Sox (+115) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-135) on Monday, June 17, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07pm EDT in Toronto, ON.
This season, the Red Sox are 37-35 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 32-39 ATS.
Red Sox vs Blue Jays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Nick Pivetta 3-4, 3.89 ERA
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Yusei Kikuchi 4-5, 3.28 ERA
Red Sox vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Red Sox vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Monday‘s MLB game with 54.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- David Hamilton has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 games (+14.60 Units / 243% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the Runs Over in 22 of his last 31 games (+14.35 Units / 42% ROI)
- Rob Refsnyder has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 19 games (+12.30 Units / 33% ROI)
- Jarren Duran has hit the Singles Under in 30 of his last 49 games (+11.05 Units / 21% ROI)
- David Hamilton has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.25 Units / 52% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Bo Bichette has hit the Singles Under in 28 of his last 50 games (+17.95 Units / 36% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Runs Under in 35 of his last 47 games (+17.25 Units / 25% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+12.40 Units / 67% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 19 games at home (+10.95 Units / 28% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the RBIs Under in 37 of his last 50 games (+10.75 Units / 10% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 29 games (+8.20 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 21 of their last 33 games (+7.15 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 37 of their last 72 games (+6.70 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 31 away games (+5.40 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 31 away games (+4.70 Units / 13% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 41 of their last 70 games (+9.80 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 38 of their last 66 games (+9.00 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 33 of their last 57 games (+5.65 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+4.10 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games (+3.55 Units / 16% ROI)
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 34-38 against the Run Line (-10.2 Units / -10.48% ROI).
- 37-35 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.15 Units / -1.32% ROI
- 32-36 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.95 Units / -8.79% ROI
- 36-32 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.15 Units / 1.45% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 32-39 against the Run Line (-12.45 Units / -13.44% ROI).
- 35-36 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.9 Units / -8.32% ROI
- 30-39 when betting on the total runs Over for -13 Units / -16.71% ROI
- 39-30 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.6 Units / 7.14% ROI
Blue Jays vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Tyler O'Neill (BOS) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
Danny Jansen (TOR) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Daulton Varsho (TOR) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Blue Jays vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
Rob Refsnyder (BOS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
George Springer (TOR) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Jarren Duran (BOS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
Connor Wong (BOS) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Blue Jays vs Red Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Tyler O'Neill (BOS) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Danny Jansen (TOR) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Justin Turner (TOR) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Blue Jays vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Yusei Kikuchi (TOR) | 6.5 -130 | 6.5 +100 |
Nick Pivetta (BOS) | 5.5 -110 | 5.5 -120 |
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Nick Pivetta has walked 6 of 23 left-handed batters (26%) — 2nd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 8% — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .116 (13-for-112) against Nick Pivetta in late innings since the 2022 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 157 total IP; League Avg: .245 — 100th Percentile.
Nick Pivetta has allowed a slugging percentage of .768 (199 Total Bases / 259 ABs) in non-two strike counts since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 92 total IP; League Avg: .573 — 0 Percentile.
Nick Pivetta has a strikeout rate of 40% (35 SO in 88 PAs) in late innings since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 92 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Yusei Kikuchi has allowed a slugging percentage of .667 (26 Total Bases / 39 ABs) on fastballs away this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .338 — fourth Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .315 (35-for-111) against Yusei Kikuchi when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .230 — third Percentile.
Yusei Kikuchi has allowed an OBP of .376 (125 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .293 — third Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .217 (38-for-175) against Yusei Kikuchi with two-strikes this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .161 — fifth Percentile.