The Boston Red Sox (+165) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-200) on Wednesday, August 3, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Houston.

The Astros are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-105).

The Red Sox vs Astros Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Red Sox are 53-52 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 53-52 ATS.

Red Sox vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Red Sox vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 59.4% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Red Sox and Astros and up-to-date player injuries.

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Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

• Rafael Devers has hit the Hits Over in 26 of his last 38 away games (+15.50 Units / 22% ROI)
• Rafael Devers has hit the Total Bases Over in 25 of his last 38 away games (+13.30 Units / 33% ROI)
• Alex Verdugo has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 28 games (+11.75 Units / 21% ROI)
• Alex Verdugo has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 33 away games (+11.30 Units / 29% ROI)
• Enrique Hernandez has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 24 away games (+10.90 Units / 22% ROI)

Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

• Kyle Tucker has hit the Total Bases Under in 34 of his last 48 games at home (+11.40 Units / 14% ROI)
• Yordan Alvarez has hit the RBIs Over in 17 of his last 28 games at home (+10.95 Units / 39% ROI)
• Framber Valdez has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+10.25 Units / 52% ROI)
• Yordan Alvarez has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 22 games at home (+10.10 Units / 43% ROI)
• Alex Bregman has hit the Total Bases Over in 26 of his last 48 games at home (+9.45 Units / 18% ROI)

Astros vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today

Astros vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Astros vs Red Sox RBI Prop Bets Today

Astros vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Positive Betting Trends for the Red Sox Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals

• The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 31 of their last 52 away games (+9.40 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 43 of their last 76 games (+8.40 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 48 away games (+7.65 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 25 of their last 43 away games (+7.15 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 38 of their last 76 games (+5.60 Units / 7% ROI)

Positive Betting Trends for the Astros: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals

• The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 62 of their last 103 games (+20.95 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 58 of their last 92 games (+18.20 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 19 of their last 28 games at home (+11.25 Units / 37% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 60 of their last 89 games (+9.95 Units / 6% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 46 of their last 86 games (+7.15 Units / 7% ROI)

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Red Sox have gone 55-50 against the Run Line (+4.75 Units / 3.62% ROI).

• 53-52 when betting on the Moneyline for -4 Units / -3.07% ROI
• 46-50 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.15 Units / -7.06% ROI
• 50-46 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.15 Units / -0.13% ROI

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Red Sox have gone 53-52 against the Run Line (+2.8 Units / 2.3% ROI).

• 67-38 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.45 Units / 3.13% ROI
• 38-63 when betting on the total runs Over for -29.9 Units / -26.07% ROI
• 63-38 when betting on the total runs Under for +20.95 Units / 17.95% ROI

Richard Hill: Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of 76% (22/29) against Brayan Bello — 8th highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 45% — 97th Percentile.

Hitters have swung at 37% of Brayan Bello’s pitches (10/27) with two-strikes — 2nd lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 62% — second Percentile.

Brayan Bello has not allowed a HR in any of his last three starts dating back to July 6th — Max Fried has the longest active streak at 9.

Brayan Bello has allowed an OBP of .463 (41 PA’s) — 9th highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .303 — third Percentile.

Jose Urquidy: Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 33% (63/189) against Jose Urquidy this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — seventh Percentile.

Jose Urquidy has struck out just 16% (39/244) of right-handed batters he faced this season — 6th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — ninth Percentile.

Jose Urquidy has a strike rate of 70% (547/786) vs left-handed batters this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 97th Percentile.

Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 18% (60/337) against Jose Urquidy this season — 6th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — ninth Percentile.

Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

  
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