The Boston Red Sox (+105) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-125) on Tuesday, August 20, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Houston, TX.

This season, the Red Sox are 65-59 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 62-62 ATS.

Red Sox vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:

• Red Sox starting pitcher: Nick Pivetta 5-8, 4.49 ERA
• Astros starting pitcher: Ronel Blanco 9-6, 2.90 ERA

Red Sox vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Red Sox vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 52.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:

• Jarren Duran has hit the Home Runs Over in 11 of his last 48 games (+28.20 Units / 59% ROI)
• Romy Gonzalez has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 18 away games (+16.90 Units / 54% ROI)
• Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Singles Over in 25 of his last 35 games (+15.35 Units / 39% ROI)
• Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Runs Over in 26 of his last 48 games (+13.60 Units / 28% ROI)
• Rafael Devers has hit the Total Bases Over in 28 of his last 45 games (+11.40 Units / 22% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Alex Bregman has hit the Home Runs Over in 10 of his last 33 games (+33.20 Units / 101% ROI)
• Yainer Diaz has hit the Hits Over in 26 of his last 48 games (+17.25 Units / 29% ROI)
• Yainer Diaz has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 23 games (+13.50 Units / 57% ROI)
• Ronel Blanco has hit the Hits Allowed Under in 18 of his last 23 games (+12.45 Units / 44% ROI)
• Yordan Alvarez has hit the Runs Under in 23 of his last 33 games (+11.85 Units / 30% ROI)

Red Sox Best Bets Today:

• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 51 of their last 81 games (+22.20 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 40 of their last 60 away games (+15.95 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 60 away games (+10.75 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 70 of their last 124 games (+8.75 Units / 6% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 17 of their last 26 games (+7.85 Units / 26% ROI)

Astros Best Bets Today:

• The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 64 of their last 107 games (+18.70 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 51 games (+14.75 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 66 games (+13.85 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 21 of their last 30 games (+11.20 Units / 30% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.20 Units / 21% ROI)

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 58-66 against the Run Line (-17.1 Units / -10.29% ROI).

• 65-59 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.25 Units / -0.17% ROI
• 65-53 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.05 Units / 5.16% ROI
• 53-65 when betting on the total runs Under for -17.9 Units / -13.14% ROI

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Astros are 62-62 against the Run Line (+1.1 Units / 0.72% ROI).

• 68-56 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.25 Units / -2.93% ROI
• 49-72 when betting on the total runs Over for -29.45 Units / -21.73% ROI
• 72-49 when betting on the total runs Under for +17.85 Units / 12.98% ROI

Astros vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today

Astros vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Astros vs Red Sox RBI Prop Bets Today

Astros vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Nick Pivetta has allowed an OBP of just .177 (609 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 114 total IP; League Avg: .244 — 98th Percentile.

Nick Pivetta has allowed a slugging percentage of .714 (456 Total Bases / 639 ABs) in non-two strike counts since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 179 total IP; League Avg: .563 — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .126 (12-for-95) against Nick Pivetta when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 49 total IP; League Avg: .243 — 100th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 27% (38/140) against Nick Pivetta this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 49 total IP; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.

Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting just .128 (23-for-179) against Ronel Blanco when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .234 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .139 (33-for-237) against Ronel Blanco when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 114 total IP; League Avg: .247 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .148 (8-for-54) against Ronel Blanco on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .332 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .179 (85-for-475) against Ronel Blanco this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .238 — 100th Percentile.

Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

  
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